SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Nautico Recife
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Nautico Recife

Serie B
Next match Nautico Recife v Avai Sat 31 Oct, 22:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Nautico Recife — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming34 Results held
Model Strength
66
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
9th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
34
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 31 Oct22:30 Avai crest Avai H — no price —

Form

last 6
DLLDWL 5 pts from 6
A Goias 0–0 +0.1
H Vila Nova 0–2 -2.7
H Novorizontino 0–2 -2.0
A Fortaleza EC 1–1 +0.2
H Sport Recife 3–1 +1.1
A Cuiaba 0–3 -0.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (34 matches) Model expected (15 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 34 matches 0 22 43
+21.0 points against the model's expectation over the 15 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 1.24 #14 of 20
Clean sheets 9 #15 of 20
Points over model expectation 21 #16 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.15 #11 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.24 #14 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 9 #15 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
25%
Scored before half time
of 12 goals
42%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 12 goals
8%
From the penalty spot
of 12 goals
18%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 17 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 34 stored fixtures (29 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SB Serie B 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form DDLLLL last 12: 0.92 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 33% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 17% (35 results held)
A Goias 0-0 D · A Goiás 0-0 D · H Vila Nova 0-2 L · H Vila Nova 0-2 L · H Novorizontino 0-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct22:30in 5d
    Nautico Recife crestNautico Recife Avai crestAvai
    SB
    Regular Season - 36
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

Serie B Next: Nautico Recife v Avai Search Nautico Recife matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Nautico Recife play next?
Nautico Recife's next fixture in the snapshot is Nautico Recife v Avai on Sat 31 Oct, 22:30 UK time (Serie B).