Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Neom — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
73
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.2%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
GrosvenorForm
last 6WLLDWW
10 pts from 6
H
Abha
2–0
+0.8
A
Al-Nassr
0–1
-1.6
H
Al-Ettifaq
0–1
-1.5
A
Al-Hazm
1–1
-1.2
H
Al-Fateh
4–2
+1.8
A
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2–0
+1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches)
Model expected (10 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+6.2 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
0.82
#2 of 18
Clean sheets
4
#6 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.45
#7 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.82
#2 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
4
#6 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed55%
Scored before half time
of 11 goals
9%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 11 goals
9%
From the penalty spot
of 11 goals
10%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures
(21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SPL
No league table for this tie
Saudi Pro League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Recorded form
WWLLWD
last 12: 2 scored / 0.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 33% · BTTS 25% · clean sheets 58% (23 results held)
H Abha 2-0 W · H Abha Club 2-0 W · A Al-Nassr 0-1 L · H Al-Ettifaq 0-1 L · H Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut 4-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Fri 30 Oct14:50in 3dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 2 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | A. Doucouré | from Everton | Free agent | 2025-08-17 |
| IN | A. Doucouré | from Everton | Free Transfer | 2025-08-15 |
Team data: fresh · collected 3 min ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Neom play next?
Neom's next fixture in the snapshot is Diriyah Club v Neom on Fri 30 Oct, 14:50 UK time (Saudi Pro League).