Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Norwich — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
58.1
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
7th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6WLLLLL
3 pts from 6
A
Charlton
3–1
+1.3
H
Portsmouth
0–1
-1.6
H
Southampton
0–1
-1.5
A
Swansea
1–2
-0.9
H
Bolton
3–4
-2.3
A
Middlesbrough
3–4
-0.9
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches)
Model expected (12 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-3.5 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
1.67
#5 of 24
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation
-3.5
#20 of 24
Goals conceded
1.83
#21 of 24
Clean sheets
0
#24 of 24
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.67
#5 of 24
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.83
#21 of 24
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
0
#24 of 24
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed67%
Scored before half time
of 18 goals
6%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 18 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 18 goals
11%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 18 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures
(36 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EFLNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
WWLLLL
last 12: 1.17 scored / 2.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 0% (40 results held)
A Charlton 3-1 W · A Charlton Athletic 3-1 W · H Portsmouth 0-1 L · H Portsmouth 0-1 L · H Southampton 0-1 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Tue 3 Nov19:45in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | D. Daley | to Hull City | Free agent | 2026-06-30 |
| OUT | H. Amass | to Manchester United | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| IN | P. Maghoma | from Brentford | Transfer | 2026-01-25 |
| IN | H. Amass | from Manchester United | Loan | 2026-01-23 |
| IN | Z. Baumann | from Manchester United | Transfer | 2025-08-31 |
| OUT | M. Núñez | to Ipswich | Transfer | 2025-08-29 |
| OUT | M. Núñez | to Ipswich | Transfer | 2025-08-27 |
| OUT | A. Gunn | to Nottingham Forest | Free Transfer | 2025-08-06 |
| IN | J. Schlupp | from Crystal Palace | Free Transfer | 2025-07-24 |
| IN | L. Moulden | from Crystal Palace | Free Transfer | 2025-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 16 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Norwich play next?
Norwich's next fixture in the snapshot is Derby v Norwich on Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 UK time (Championship).