SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Oldham
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Oldham

League Two
Next match Rochdale v Oldham Sat 19 Sept, 12:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Oldham — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 19 Sept12:30 Rochdale crest Rochdale A — no price —

Form

last 5
LDWLW 7 pts from 5
A Tranmere 0–2 -1.1
A Fleetwood Town 1–1 -0.1
H Swindon Town 3–0 —
A Colchester 1–2 -1.1
H Port Vale 2–0 +1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 4 7
+2.1 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 1 #6 of 24
Clean sheets 2 #6 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.4 #11 of 24
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1 #6 of 24
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #6 of 24

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
50%
Scored before half time
of 4 goals
50%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 4 goals
25%
From the penalty spot
of 4 goals
67%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LT League Two 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form LLDDWL last 12: 1.08 scored / 1.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 33% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
A Tranmere 0-2 L · A Tranmere Rovers 0-2 L · A Fleetwood Town 1-1 D · A Fleetwood Town 1-1 D · H Swindon Town 3-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 19 Sept12:30in 7d
    Rochdale crestRochdale Oldham crestOldham
    LT
    Regular Season - 7
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens from Manchester United Loan 2022-09-02
IN Jamie Patrick Bowden from Tottenham Loan 2021-08-06
OUT H. Clarke to Arsenal Free 2021-07-12
IN Zachary Harry Dearnley from Manchester United 2020-07-01
OUT S. Surridge to Bournemouth 2019-01-08
IN S. Surridge from Bournemouth Loan 2018-07-30
IN Jose Baxter from Everton Free 2018-07-01
IN K. Bryan from Manchester City Loan 2018-01-16
IN K. Bryan from Manchester City Loan 2017-08-31
IN C. Duffus from Everton 2017-07-17
Team data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

League Two Next: Rochdale v Oldham Search Oldham matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Oldham play next?
Oldham's next fixture in the snapshot is Rochdale v Oldham on Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 UK time (League Two).