Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Palermo — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming3 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.4%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
2 club(s) in this competition carry enough priced fixtures to rank
Fixtures Analysed
3
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 3WWW
9 pts from 3
H
Sampdoria
3–1
+1.3
A
Arezzo
3–2
—
H
Juve Stabia
1–0
+1.4
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (3 matches)
Model expected (3 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+5.7 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
2.33
#1 of 20
Clean sheets
1
#6 of 20
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2.33
#1 of 20
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1
#9 of 20
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#6 of 20
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed50%
Scored before half time
of 6 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 6 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 6 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures
(9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Stadio Renzo Barbera gazetteer
Recorded form
WLWWWW
last 12: 2.33 scored / 1.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
H Sampdoria 3-1 W · A Siracusa 2-3 L · H Mantova 5-2 W · A Arezzo 3-2 W · H Juve Stabia 1-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 13 Sept16:15in 44h 08mnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 4 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | C. Gomes | from Manchester City | 2022-09-01 | |
| OUT | A. Lazaar | to Newcastle | € 3.5M | 2016-08-28 |
| OUT | E. Viviano | to Arsenal | Loan | 2013-09-02 |
| OUT | P. Kasami | to Fulham | € 1.6M | 2011-07-25 |
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Palermo v Mantova | Palermo to Win | 1.67 → 2.16 | -22.7% | ✓ WIN |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Palermo play next?
Palermo's next fixture in the snapshot is Avellino v Palermo on Sun 13 Sept, 16:15 UK time (Serie B - Italy).
