SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Pisa
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Pisa

Coppa ItaliaArena Garibaldi
Next match Fiorentina v Pisa Tue 15 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Pisa — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming3 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.7%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
2 club(s) in this competition carry enough priced fixtures to rank
Fixtures Analysed
3
Held

Next fixtures

2 priced
Fri 11 Sept20:00 Virtus Entella crest Virtus Entella H — 1.83Smarkets — Tue 15 Sept20:00 Fiorentina crest Fiorentina A — no price —

Form

last 3
WWL 6 pts from 3
A Juve Stabia 3–0 +1.9
H Catanzaro 2–1 —
H Padova 0–1 -1.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 3 matches 0 3 6
+3.3 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 0.67 #4 of 20
Goals scored 1.67 #7 of 20
Clean sheets 1 #7 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.67 #7 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.67 #4 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #7 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
67%
Scored before half time
of 6 goals
17%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 6 goals
17%
From the penalty spot
of 6 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 1 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
CI Coppa Italia 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie Coppa Italia is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Arena Garibaldi gazetteer
Recorded form WWLDWL last 12: 2.13 scored / 0.88 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 63% · clean sheets 13% (8 results held)
A Juve Stabia 3-0 W · H Catanzaro 2-1 W · H Padova 0-1 L · H Empoli 1-1 D · A Bologna 4-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Fiorentina crestFiorentina Pisa crestPisa
    CI
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

Coppa Italia Next: Fiorentina v Pisa Search Pisa matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Pisa play next?
Pisa's next fixture in the snapshot is Fiorentina v Pisa on Tue 15 Sept, 20:00 UK time (Coppa Italia).