Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Port Vale — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
71.4
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.5%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
17th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Betfair ExchangeForm
last 5LLDDL
2 pts from 5
A
Salford City
0–1
-1.1
A
Swindon Town
1–3
-1.1
H
Crewe
0–0
—
H
Tranmere
1–1
-0.6
A
Oldham
0–2
-1.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches)
Model expected (5 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-2.8 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Goals scored
0.4
#23 of 24
Points over model expectation
-2.8
#23 of 24
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
0.4
#23 of 24
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.4
#13 of 24
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#12 of 24
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed100%
Scored before half time
of 1 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 1 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 1 goals
25%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures
(5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Vale Park gazetteer
Recorded form
LLDDLL
last 12: 1.2 scored / 1.1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 40% · BTTS 30% · clean sheets 40% (10 results held)
A Salford City 0-1 L · A Swindon Town 1-3 L · H Crewe 0-0 D · H Tranmere 1-1 D · A Oldham 0-2 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept15:00in 18h 09mnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | M. Craig | from Tottenham | Free agent | 2026-06-30 |
| OUT | Elijah Xavier Campbell | to Everton | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| OUT | M. Sherif | to Everton | Return from loan | 2026-05-30 |
| IN | Elijah Xavier Campbell | from Everton | Loan | 2026-01-31 |
| IN | M. Sherif | from Everton | Loan | 2026-01-31 |
| OUT | J. Weir | to Brighton | 2024-07-01 | |
| OUT | Daniel Gore | to Manchester United | 2024-07-01 | |
| OUT | R. Williams | to Liverpool | 2024-02-01 | |
| IN | Daniel Gore | from Manchester United | Loan | 2024-01-23 |
| IN | R. Williams | from Liverpool | Loan | 2024-01-16 |
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Port Vale play next?
Port Vale's next fixture in the snapshot is Port Vale v Exeter City on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League 2).