Preston

Next match Preston v Southampton Sat 7 Nov, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Preston — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming13 Results held

Model Strength

64.6

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

21st

of 24 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 7 Nov15:00

Southampton H — no price —

Form

last 6

LDLLLD 2 pts from 6

A Stoke City 0–2 -0.3

H West Brom 1–1 -0.1

A Wrexham 1–4 -0.9

A Birmingham 0–4 -0.8

H Millwall 0–1 -1.4

A QPR 2–2 +0.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (13 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind

-8.1 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 0 #23 of 24

Goals scored 0.77 #24 of 24

Goals conceded 2.08 #24 of 24

Points over model expectation -8.1 #24 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.77 #24 of 24

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.08 #24 of 24

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 0 #23 of 24

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

67%

Scored before half time

of 9 goals

11%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 9 goals

From the penalty spot

of 9 goals

38%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 21 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 13 stored fixtures (30 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EFL Championship 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Recorded form LLDDLL last 12: 0.67 scored / 2.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 0% (32 results held)

A Stoke City 0-2 L · A Stoke City 0-2 L · H West Brom 1-1 D · H West Bromwich Albion 1-1 D · A Wrexham 1-4 L

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 7 Nov15:00in 6d

Preston Southampton
EFL

Regular Season - 15

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	C. Wiley	from Chelsea	Loan	2026-08-27
IN	H. Clarke	from Ipswich	Transfer	2026-08-13
IN	H. Clarke	from Ipswich	Transfer	2026-08-12
IN	A. Devine	from Tottenham	Transfer	2026-07-06
OUT	D. Jebbison	to Bournemouth	Return from loan	2026-06-29
OUT	L. Dobbin	to Aston Villa	Return from loan	2026-05-30
OUT	A. Devine	to Tottenham	Return from loan	2026-05-30
IN	A. Moran	from Brighton	Transfer	2026-02-01
OUT	H. Armstrong	to Everton	Return from loan	2025-12-30
IN	J. Lewis	from Newcastle	Free agent	2025-10-30

Team data: fresh · collected 2 h ago

Explore

Championship Next: Preston v Southampton Search Preston matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Preston play next?

Preston's next fixture in the snapshot is Preston v Southampton on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time (Championship).