P

Puebla

Liga MX·Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Next match Necaxa v Puebla Sat 12 Sept, 02:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Puebla — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming6 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

93.8%

Efficient

ROI · published

+10.7%

3 settled

Model Rank

15th

of 17 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

6

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Sat 12 Sept02:00 Necaxa A — 3.75Smarkets — Wed 16 Sept02:00 Toluca H — 4.75Betfair — Wed 16 Sept02:00 Toluca H — 4.70Grosvenor —

Form

last 6

LWWDLW 10 pts from 6

A Club America 0–2 -0.5

H Santos Laguna 3–2 +1.6

A CF Pachuca 3–2 +2.3

H Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 -0.6

A Cruz Azul 1–2 -0.7

A FC Juarez 1–0 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.9 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Nothing ranks yet

a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.5 #8 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.5 #11 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #12 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

No goal detail stored

the minute-level event feed has not been collected for this club's fixtures

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LM Liga MX 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept02:00in 5h 52m
   Necaxa Puebla

   LM

   Apertura - 8
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 16 Sept02:00in 4d
   Puebla Toluca

   LM

   Apertura - 7
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Wed 16 Sept02:00in 4d
   Puebla Toluca

   LM
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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