Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Raków Częstochowa — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
81
Elite
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.7%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
16th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
LWLLLW 6 pts from 6
A Wisla Krakow 1–2 -0.7
A Wieczysta Kraków 2–1 +2.4
H GKS Katowice 1–4 -2.0
A Korona Kielce 2–3 -0.6
H Zaglebie Lubin 2–3 -1.6
H Motor Lublin 2–1 +0.9
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 12 matches 0 6 12
-5.7 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation -5.7 #17 of 18
Goals conceded 2.33 #18 of 18
Clean sheets 0 #18 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.33 #11 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2.33 #18 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 0 #18 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
31%
Scored before half time
of 13 goals
54%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 13 goals
23%
From the penalty spot
of 13 goals
32%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 22 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (35 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EKS Ekstraklasa 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Stadion Miejski gazetteer
Recorded form LLWLWL last 12: 1.67 scored / 2.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 92% · BTTS 92% · clean sheets 0% (29 results held)
A Wisla Krakow 1-2 L · A Wisła Kraków 1-2 L · A Wieczysta Kraków 2-1 W · H GKS Katowice 1-4 L · H Polonia Bytom 4-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Mon 2 Nov19:30in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 7 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT O. Zych to Aston Villa Return from loan 2026-06-29
IN O. Zych from Aston Villa Loan 2025-07-14
IN K. Klaesson from Leeds Free 2024-07-07
IN J. Jach from Crystal Palace Loan 2021-01-09
OUT J. Jach to Crystal Palace 2020-08-01
IN J. Jach from Crystal Palace Loan 2019-08-31
IN Chidiebere Chijioke Nwakali from Manchester City Free 2018-08-31
Team data: fresh · collected 2 min ago

Explore

Ekstraklasa Next: Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin Search Raków Częstochowa matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Raków Częstochowa play next?
Raków Częstochowa's next fixture in the snapshot is Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin on Mon 2 Nov, 19:30 UK time (Ekstraklasa).