Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Raków Częstochowa — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
81
Elite
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.7%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
16th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6LWLLLW
6 pts from 6
A
Wisla Krakow
1–2
-0.7
A
Wieczysta Kraków
2–1
+2.4
H
GKS Katowice
1–4
-2.0
A
Korona Kielce
2–3
-0.6
H
Zaglebie Lubin
2–3
-1.6
H
Motor Lublin
2–1
+0.9
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches)
Model expected (12 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-5.7 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Points over model expectation
-5.7
#17 of 18
Goals conceded
2.33
#18 of 18
Clean sheets
0
#18 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.33
#11 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
2.33
#18 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
0
#18 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed31%
Scored before half time
of 13 goals
54%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 13 goals
23%
From the penalty spot
of 13 goals
32%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 22 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures
(35 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Stadion Miejski gazetteer
Recorded form
LLWLWL
last 12: 1.67 scored / 2.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 92% · BTTS 92% · clean sheets 0% (29 results held)
A Wisla Krakow 1-2 L · A Wisła Kraków 1-2 L · A Wieczysta Kraków 2-1 W · H GKS Katowice 1-4 L · H Polonia Bytom 4-1 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Mon 2 Nov19:30in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 7 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | O. Zych | to Aston Villa | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| IN | O. Zych | from Aston Villa | Loan | 2025-07-14 |
| IN | K. Klaesson | from Leeds | Free | 2024-07-07 |
| IN | J. Jach | from Crystal Palace | Loan | 2021-01-09 |
| OUT | J. Jach | to Crystal Palace | 2020-08-01 | |
| IN | J. Jach | from Crystal Palace | Loan | 2019-08-31 |
| IN | Chidiebere Chijioke Nwakali | from Manchester City | Free | 2018-08-31 |
Team data: fresh · collected 2 min ago
Explore
Ekstraklasa
Next: Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin
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Frequently asked questions
When do Raków Częstochowa play next?
Raków Częstochowa's next fixture in the snapshot is Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin on Mon 2 Nov, 19:30 UK time (Ekstraklasa).
