Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Red Bull Salzburg — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming4 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
Not enough data
a complete three-way price is held for 0 of this club's fixtures
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs
Fixtures Analysed
4
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 4WWDW
10 pts from 4
H
Mjallby AIF
3–0
—
A
Mjallby AIF
1–0
—
A
Pafos
3–3
—
H
Pafos
1–0
—
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (4 matches)
Model expected
Ahead
Behind
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Possession
65.7%
#2 of 11
Clean sheets
3
#7 of 76
Goals scored
2
#10 of 52
Goals conceded
0.75
#13 of 52
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2
#10 of 52
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
6
#6 of 11
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.75
#13 of 52
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
3
#7 of 76
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed0%
Scored before half time
of 7 goals
29%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 7 goals
14%
From the penalty spot
of 7 goals
50%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures
(11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No league table for this tie
UEFA Europa League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Red Bull Arena Salzburg gazetteer
Recorded form
WWWWWW
last 12: 2.75 scored / 0.58 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 58% (34 results held)
A SKN ST. Polten 3-0 W · H Rapid Vienna 5-1 W · H Rapid Wien 5-1 W · H Austria Vienna 4-1 W · H Mjallby AIF 3-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Thu 17 Sept17:45in 6dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 7 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Stefan Bajčetić | from Liverpool | Loan | 2024-08-30 |
| IN | B. Clark | from Liverpool | € 11.7M | 2024-08-22 |
| OUT | E. Mwepu | to Brighton | 2021-07-06 | |
| IN | Bernardo | from Brighton | 2021-01-23 | |
| OUT | T. Minamino | to Liverpool | € 8.5M | 2020-01-01 |
| IN | Andre Wisdom | from Liverpool | Loan | 2016-08-31 |
| IN | P. Gulácsi | from Liverpool | Free | 2013-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected just now
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UEFA Europa League
Next: Levski Sofia v Red Bull Salzburg
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Frequently asked questions
When do Red Bull Salzburg play next?
Red Bull Salzburg's next fixture in the snapshot is Levski Sofia v Red Bull Salzburg on Thu 17 Sept, 17:45 UK time (UEFA Europa League).