R

Remo

Brazil Série A

Next match Bahia v Remo Tue 15 Sept, 00:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Remo — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming26 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

+10.0%

3 settled

Model Rank

15th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

26

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Tue 15 Sept00:00 Bahia A — 6.50Paddy Power — Tue 15 Sept00:00 Bahia A — 7.00Betano (UK) — Sat 19 Sept22:30 Santos H — 2.75Casumo —

Form

last 6

LLLDDL 2 pts from 6

H Flamengo 0–1 -1.0

H Coritiba 2–3 -1.7

A Fluminense 1–2 -0.6

A Internacional 1–1 +0.4

H Atletico-MG 2–2 -0.2

A Mirassol 1–2 -0.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (26 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+15.1 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 3 #17 of 20

Points over model expectation 15.1 #18 of 20

Goals conceded 1.65 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.15 #13 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.65 #19 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 3 #17 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 9 goals

11%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 9 goals

11%

From the penalty spot

of 9 goals

40%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 5 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 26 stored fixtures (14 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 15 Sept00:00in 3d
   Bahia Remo

   BSA

   Regular Season - 27
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Tue 15 Sept00:00in 3d
   Bahia Remo

   BSA
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Sat 19 Sept22:30in 8d
   Remo Santos

   BSA

   Regular Season - 28
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Graded calls — from the public ledger

Explore