Ried

BWT X Upper Austrian Arena

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Ried — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

5 Results held

Model Strength

65.5

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

94%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

1st

of 10 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Fri 11 Sept18:30

RB Salzburg H — 6.40

Smarkets —

Form

last 5

LWLLD 4 pts from 5

A TSV Hartberg 2–3 —

H Grazer AK 1–0 +1.3

A Lask Linz 1–4 -0.9

H Rapid Vienna 1–2 -1.9

A Austria Lustenau 1–1 -0.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.5 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 2 #10 of 12

Points over model expectation -1.5 #9 of 10

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.2 #6 of 12

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2 #10 of 12

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #8 of 12

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 2 goals

Scored from 75 minutes

of 2 goals

From the penalty spot

of 2 goals

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Home ground: BWT X Upper Austrian Arena gazetteer

Recorded form WLWLLD last 12: 2 scored / 1.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 17% (12 results held)

A Wallern / Marienkirchen 5-1 W · A TSV Hartberg 2-3 L · H Grazer AK 1-0 W · A Lask Linz 1-4 L · H Rapid Vienna 1-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

No upcoming fixtures in the current snapshot — the board refills as the engine sweeps the markets.

Graded calls — from the public ledger

Posted	Match	Selection	Posted → close	CLV	Result
2026-09-11	Ried v RB Salzburg	RB Salzburg to Win	1.56 → 1.54	+1.3%	OPEN
2026-08-14	LASK v Ried	LASK to Win	1.52 → 1.45	+4.8%	✓ WIN

Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

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