Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for River Plate — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming34 Results held
Model Strength
70
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.6%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
34
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
UnibetForm
last 6WWDWLW
13 pts from 6
H
Racing Club
1–0
+1.1
A
Belgrano Cordoba
3–0
+1.9
A
Sarmiento Junin
1–1
-0.8
H
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
+0.3
H
Huracan
1–2
-2.0
A
Atletico Tucuman
2–1
+2.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (34 matches)
Model expected (12 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+38.6 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
1.38
#5 of 30
Points over model expectation
38.6
#5 of 30
Goals conceded
0.85
#6 of 30
Clean sheets
13
#6 of 30
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.38
#5 of 30
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.85
#6 of 30
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
13
#6 of 30
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed53%
Scored before half time
of 17 goals
12%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 17 goals
12%
From the penalty spot
of 17 goals
45%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 34 stored fixtures
(28 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PDANo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
WLDWLD
last 12: 1.5 scored / 0.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 42% (40 results held)
H Racing Club 1-0 W · H Uruguay Montevideo 1-2 L · H Estrella 1-1 D · A Belgrano Cordoba 3-0 W · A Plaza Colonia 1-2 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 1 Nov18:00in 6dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | K. Páez | to Chelsea | Return from loan | 2026-08-29 |
| IN | T. Almada | from Atletico Madrid | Transfer | 2026-08-07 |
| IN | T. Almada | from Atletico Madrid | Transfer | 2026-08-06 |
| IN | K. Páez | from Chelsea | Loan | 2026-01-29 |
| OUT | C. Echeverri | to Manchester City | Back from Loan | 2025-01-01 |
| IN | C. Echeverri | from Manchester City | Loan | 2024-01-26 |
| OUT | C. Echeverri | to Manchester City | € 14.5M | 2024-01-25 |
| IN | S. Rondón | from Everton | Free | 2023-01-30 |
| OUT | J. Álvarez | to Manchester City | 2022-07-08 | |
| IN | J. Álvarez | from Manchester City | Loan | 2022-01-31 |
Team data: fresh · collected 18 h ago
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Primera División - Argentina
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When do River Plate play next?
River Plate's next fixture in the snapshot is Boca Juniors v River Plate on Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 UK time (Primera División - Argentina).