Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for River Plate — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming8 Results held
Model Strength
70
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
10th
of 29 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
8
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Betfair ExchangeForm
last 6WWDWLL
10 pts from 6
H
Independ. Rivadavia
3–1
+1.0
A
Banfield
3–2
+1.4
H
Velez Sarsfield
2–2
-1.0
H
Argentinos JRS
2–0
+0.9
A
Tigre
0–1
—
H
Rosario Central
0–1
-2.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (8 matches)
Model expected (6 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+0.2 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
1.25
#7 of 30
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation
0.2
#22 of 29
Clean sheets
1
#29 of 30
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.25
#7 of 30
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.13
#20 of 30
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#29 of 30
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed63%
Scored before half time
of 8 goals
13%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 8 goals
25%
From the penalty spot
of 8 goals
43%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 7 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures
(15 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PDANo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
WWLLWD
last 12: 1.5 scored / 1.08 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 42% (40 results held)
H Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 W · H Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 W · A Atenas 2-3 L · H Club Nacional 2-3 L · A Banfield 3-2 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept21:30in 25h 22mnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | K. Páez | to Chelsea | Return from loan | 2026-08-29 |
| IN | K. Páez | from Chelsea | Loan | 2026-01-29 |
| OUT | C. Echeverri | to Manchester City | Back from Loan | 2025-01-01 |
| IN | C. Echeverri | from Manchester City | Loan | 2024-01-26 |
| OUT | C. Echeverri | to Manchester City | € 14.5M | 2024-01-25 |
| IN | S. Rondón | from Everton | Free | 2023-01-30 |
| OUT | J. Álvarez | to Manchester City | 2022-07-08 | |
| IN | J. Álvarez | from Manchester City | Loan | 2022-01-31 |
| OUT | J. Álvarez | to Manchester City | € 17M | 2022-01-30 |
| IN | Álvaro Maximiliano Arias Invernizzi | from Liverpool | Free € | 2017-01-05 |
Team data: fresh · collected 38 min ago
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Primera División - Argentina
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When do River Plate play next?
River Plate's next fixture in the snapshot is Atlético Tucuman v River Plate on Sat 12 Sept, 21:30 UK time (Primera División - Argentina).