Rochdale

League 2Spotland Stadium

Next match Port Vale v Rochdale Sat 31 Oct, 12:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Rochdale — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming13 Results held

Model Strength

63.9

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

1st

of 24 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct12:30

Port Vale A — 4.75

Unibet —

Form

last 6

LDLDWW 8 pts from 6

H Accrington ST 0–5 -2.0

H Grimsby 2–2 -1.2

A Crewe 2–3 -1.2

A Tranmere 1–1 -0.3

H Swindon Town 1–0 +0.6

A Fleetwood Town 2–1 +2.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (13 matches) Model expected (13 priced) Ahead Behind

-3.8 points against the model's expectation over the 13 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 4 #5 of 24

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.15 #17 of 24

Goals conceded 1.69 #21 of 24

Points over model expectation -3.8 #23 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.15 #17 of 24

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.69 #21 of 24

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 4 #5 of 24

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

43%

Scored before half time

of 14 goals

36%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 14 goals

From the penalty spot

of 14 goals

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 17 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 13 stored fixtures (31 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L2 League 2 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: Spotland Stadium gazetteer

Recorded form LLDDLL last 12: 1.33 scored / 2.58 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 8% (28 results held)

H Accrington ST 0-5 L · H Accrington Stanley 0-5 L · H Grimsby 2-2 D · H Grimsby Town 2-2 D · A Crewe 2-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 31 Oct12:30in 4d

Port Vale Rochdale
L2

Regular Season - 14

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	C. Tasker	from Brighton	Loan	2026-08-31
IN	Kane Taylor	from Aston Villa	Loan	2026-08-20
IN	Kaiden Wilson	from Chelsea	Loan	2026-07-16
IN	Nils Ramming	from Brighton	Loan	2026-07-16
OUT	Callum Perry	to Coventry	Return from loan	2026-05-30
IN	Callum Perry	from Coventry	Loan	2026-01-14
IN	T. Myles	from Manchester United	Free agent	2025-07-30
OUT	L. Ayinde	to Ipswich	Back from Loan	2025-07-01
OUT	L. Ayinde	to Ipswich		2025-05-31
IN	M. Penney	from Ipswich		2024-11-16

Team data: fresh · collected 2 h ago

Explore

League 2 Next: Port Vale v Rochdale Search Rochdale matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Rochdale play next?

Rochdale's next fixture in the snapshot is Port Vale v Rochdale on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (League 2).