Rochdale

League 2Spotland Stadium

Next match Walsall v Rochdale Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Rochdale — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

67.3

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

94.9%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

8th

of 24 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 12 Sept15:00

Walsall A — 5.00

Matchbook —

Form

last 5

LWLLL 3 pts from 5

H Gillingham 1–4 -1.6

H Shrewsbury 3–0 +1.4

A Colchester 0–1 —

H Crawley Town 1–2 -1.6

A Newport County 0–3 -1.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

-3.0 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1 #17 of 24

Goals conceded 2 #22 of 24

Points over model expectation -3 #24 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #17 of 24

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2 #22 of 24

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #11 of 24

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

40%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

40%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

25%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 4 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L2 League 2 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: Spotland Stadium gazetteer

Recorded form LWWLLL last 12: 1.58 scored / 2 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 17% (13 results held)

H Gillingham 1-4 L · H Shrewsbury 3-0 W · H Shrewsbury Town 3-0 W · A Colchester 0-1 L · H Crawley Town 1-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 12 Sept15:00in 18h 09m

Walsall Rochdale
L2

Regular Season - 6

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	Kaiden Wilson	from Chelsea	Loan	2026-07-16
IN	Nils Ramming	from Brighton	Loan	2026-07-16
IN	T. Myles	from Manchester United	Free agent	2025-07-30
OUT	C. Slicker	to Manchester City		2023-01-11
IN	C. Slicker	from Manchester City	Loan	2022-07-29
OUT	H. Roberts	to Brighton		2021-06-01
IN	H. Roberts	from Brighton	Loan	2020-10-16
OUT	Robert Sánchez	to Brighton		2020-07-01
IN	Robert Sánchez	from Brighton	Loan	2019-07-24
OUT	A. Lonergan	to Liverpool	Free	2019-07-15

Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago

Explore

League 2 Next: Walsall v Rochdale Search Rochdale matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Rochdale play next?

Rochdale's next fixture in the snapshot is Walsall v Rochdale on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League 2).