Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Rosario Central — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming33 Results held
Model Strength
57
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.2%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
33
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6WWWDWW
16 pts from 6
H
Huracan
2–0
+1.4
A
Atletico Tucuman
3–2
+2.1
H
Independ. Rivadavia
5–0
+1.1
A
Banfield
1–1
-0.2
H
Argentinos JRS
1–0
+1.3
A
Tigre
1–0
+1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (33 matches)
Model expected (14 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+42.4 points against the model's expectation over the 14 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Points over model expectation
42.4
#2 of 30
Goals scored
1.42
#4 of 30
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.42
#4 of 30
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.91
#12 of 30
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
11
#12 of 30
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed35%
Scored before half time
of 20 goals
25%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 20 goals
15%
From the penalty spot
of 20 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 33 stored fixtures
(30 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Ato Boldon Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
WWWWDW
last 12: 2.17 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 50% (40 results held)
H Huracan 2-0 W · A Atletico Tucuman 3-2 W · H Independ. Rivadavia 5-0 W · H Independiente Rivadavia 5-0 W · A Banfield 1-1 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct00:15in 3dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 4 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | A. Véliz | to Tottenham | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| IN | A. Véliz | from Tottenham | Loan | 2025-07-08 |
| OUT | A. Véliz | to Tottenham | € 15M | 2023-08-08 |
| OUT | F. Buonanotte | to Brighton | € 6M | 2023-01-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago
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Primera División - Argentina
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Frequently asked questions
When do Rosario Central play next?
Rosario Central's next fixture in the snapshot is Sarmiento de Junin v Rosario Central on Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 UK time (Primera División - Argentina).
