Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Rosario Central — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming33 Results held
Model Strength
57
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.2%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
33
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WWWDWW 16 pts from 6
H Huracan 2–0 +1.4
A Atletico Tucuman 3–2 +2.1
H Independ. Rivadavia 5–0 +1.1
A Banfield 1–1 -0.2
H Argentinos JRS 1–0 +1.3
A Tigre 1–0 +1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (33 matches) Model expected (14 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 33 matches 0 31 62
+42.4 points against the model's expectation over the 14 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 42.4 #2 of 30
Goals scored 1.42 #4 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.42 #4 of 30
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.91 #12 of 30
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 11 #12 of 30

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
35%
Scored before half time
of 20 goals
25%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 20 goals
15%
From the penalty spot
of 20 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 33 stored fixtures (30 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PDA Primera División - Argentina 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Ato Boldon Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form WWWWDW last 12: 2.17 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 50% (40 results held)
H Huracan 2-0 W · A Atletico Tucuman 3-2 W · H Independ. Rivadavia 5-0 W · H Independiente Rivadavia 5-0 W · A Banfield 1-1 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct00:15in 3d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 4 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT A. Véliz to Tottenham Return from loan 2026-06-29
IN A. Véliz from Tottenham Loan 2025-07-08
OUT A. Véliz to Tottenham € 15M 2023-08-08
OUT F. Buonanotte to Brighton € 6M 2023-01-01
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

Primera División - Argentina Next: Sarmiento de Junin v Rosario Central Search Rosario Central matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Rosario Central play next?
Rosario Central's next fixture in the snapshot is Sarmiento de Junin v Rosario Central on Sat 31 Oct, 00:15 UK time (Primera División - Argentina).