SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Rot-Weiß Essen
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Rot-Weiß Essen

3. Liga
Next match Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen Sat 7 Nov, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Rot-Weiß Essen — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
63
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.2%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
4th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 7 Nov13:00 Alemannia Aachen crest Alemannia Aachen H — no price —

Form

last 6
WLWDDW 11 pts from 6
H SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–0 +1.3
A FC Ingolstadt 04 0–1 -2.1
H Fortuna Köln 2–0 +1.3
A Preußen Münster 3–3 -0.4
H Hansa Rostock 1–1 -1.1
A Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 +1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 11 matches 0 11 21
+6.7 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 5 #2 of 20
Goals conceded 1.18 #3 of 20
Points over model expectation 6.7 #3 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.73 #9 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.18 #3 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 5 #2 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
44%
Scored before half time
of 16 goals
38%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 16 goals
6%
From the penalty spot
of 16 goals
14%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 7 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
3L 3. Liga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie 3. Liga is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Recorded form LLWWLL last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (28 results held)
H RB Leipzig 1-2 L · H RB Leipzig 1-2 L · H SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-0 W · H Jahn Regensburg 1-0 W · A FC Ingolstadt 04 0-1 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov13:00in 7d
    Rot-Weiß Essen crestRot-Weiß Essen Alemannia Aachen crestAlemannia Aachen
    3L
    Regular Season - 13
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

3. Liga Next: Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen Search Rot-Weiß Essen matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Rot-Weiß Essen play next?
Rot-Weiß Essen's next fixture in the snapshot is Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen on Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 UK time (3. Liga).