Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Saint Etienne — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
70.4
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.5%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
4th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
888sportForm
last 6WWWDLW
13 pts from 6
H
Nantes
1–0
+0.9
A
RED Star FC 93
1–0
+1.9
H
Rodez
2–0
+1.1
A
Metz
2–2
+0.1
A
Dunkerque
1–2
-1.0
H
Montpellier
3–1
+1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches)
Model expected (10 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+11.4 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
2.3
#1 of 18
Points over model expectation
11.4
#1 of 18
Clean sheets
5
#3 of 18
Goals conceded
0.8
#4 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2.3
#1 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.8
#4 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
5
#3 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed38%
Scored before half time
of 13 goals
15%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 13 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 13 goals
29%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 7 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures
(20 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2FNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard gazetteer
Recorded form
WWWWWW
last 12: 2.17 scored / 0.83 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 50% (20 results held)
H Nantes 1-0 W · A RED Star FC 93 1-0 W · A Red Star 1-0 W · H Rodez 2-0 W · H Rodez AF 2-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct19:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | P. Ekwah | from Sunderland | Transfer | 2025-08-14 |
| IN | J. Duffus | from Brighton | Free agent | 2025-08-12 |
| OUT | P. Ekwah | to Sunderland | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| OUT | M. Amougou | to Chelsea | € 15M | 2025-02-03 |
| IN | P. Ekwah | from Sunderland | Loan | 2024-08-30 |
| IN | N. Nkounkou | from Everton | € 2M | 2023-07-01 |
| IN | E. Mangala | from Valencia | Free | 2022-01-20 |
| OUT | W. Saliba | to Arsenal | 2020-07-01 | |
| IN | W. Saliba | from Arsenal | Loan | 2019-07-26 |
| OUT | W. Saliba | to Arsenal | € 30M | 2019-07-25 |
Team data: fresh · collected 16 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Saint Etienne play next?
Saint Etienne's next fixture in the snapshot is Guingamp v Saint Etienne on Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 UK time (Ligue 2 - France).