Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Saint Etienne — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
75
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.8%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
4th
of 17 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Betfair ExchangeForm
last 5WWWWW
15 pts from 5
H
Montpellier
3–1
+1.3
A
Dijon
3–2
—
H
Grenoble
4–0
+0.8
H
Clermont Foot
3–1
+1.5
A
Sochaux
3–0
+1.9
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches)
Model expected (5 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+8.5 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
3.2
#1 of 18
Points over model expectation
8.5
#1 of 17
Goals conceded
0.8
#6 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
3.2
#1 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.8
#6 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#9 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed33%
Scored before half time
of 6 goals
17%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 6 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 6 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures
(9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2FNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard gazetteer
Recorded form
WWWWWW
last 12: 2.73 scored / 1.18 conceded per game · Over 2.5 91% · BTTS 64% · clean sheets 27% (11 results held)
H Montpellier 3-1 W · A Dijon 3-2 W · H Grenoble 4-0 W · H Clermont 3-1 W · H Clermont Foot 3-1 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept19:00in 22h 15mnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | J. Duffus | from Brighton | Free agent | 2025-08-12 |
| OUT | M. Amougou | to Chelsea | € 15M | 2025-02-03 |
| IN | N. Nkounkou | from Everton | € 2M | 2023-07-01 |
| OUT | W. Saliba | to Arsenal | 2020-07-01 | |
| IN | W. Saliba | from Arsenal | Loan | 2019-07-26 |
| OUT | W. Saliba | to Arsenal | € 30M | 2019-07-25 |
| IN | M. Debuchy | from Arsenal | 2018-01-31 | |
| OUT | H. Saivet | to Newcastle | 2017-07-01 | |
| IN | H. Saivet | from Newcastle | Loan | 2016-08-24 |
| OUT | M. Gradel | to Bournemouth | € 10M | 2015-08-04 |
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Saint Etienne play next?
Saint Etienne's next fixture in the snapshot is USL Dunkerque v Saint Etienne on Sat 12 Sept, 19:00 UK time (Ligue 2 - France).