Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Salford City — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 1 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.7%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 5
WWLLL 6 pts from 5
H Port Vale 1–0 +1.4
H Newport County 2–1 +1.4
A Shrewsbury 0–1
H Chesterfield 0–1 -1.6
A Barnet 1–3 -1.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 3 6
+0.0 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 1.2 #8 of 24
Weaknesses
Goals scored 0.8 #20 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.8 #20 of 24
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.2 #8 of 24
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #14 of 24

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
0%
Scored before half time
of 3 goals
67%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 3 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 3 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 2 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2 League 2 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Moor Lane gazetteer
Recorded form WWLLLD last 12: 1.55 scored / 1.18 conceded per game · Over 2.5 45% · BTTS 64% · clean sheets 18% (11 results held)
H Port Vale 1-0 W · H Newport County 2-1 W · A Shrewsbury 0-1 L · H Chesterfield 0-1 L · A Barnet 1-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 18h 50m
    not modelled
    model building

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT A. Dorrington to Tottenham Return from loan 2026-05-30
IN A. Dorrington from Tottenham Loan 2026-02-01
OUT W. Wright to Liverpool Transfer 2025-08-04
OUT W. Wright to Liverpool Transfer 2025-08-02
OUT F. Okoronkwo to Everton Return from loan 2025-05-30
OUT E. Galbraith to Manchester United 2023-06-01
IN E. Galbraith from Manchester United Loan 2022-09-01
IN L. Tolaj from Brighton Loan 2022-08-23
OUT D. Bughail-Mellor to Manchester United 2022-01-19
IN D. Bughail-Mellor from Manchester United Loan 2021-08-28
Team data: fresh · collected 40 min ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-01 Salford City v Newport County Salford City to Win 1.60 → 1.50 +6.7% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

League 2 Next: Rotherham United v Salford City Search Salford City matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Salford City play next?
Salford City's next fixture in the snapshot is Rotherham United v Salford City on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League 2).