Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for SC Braga — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming8 Results held
Model Strength
63
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.4%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs
Fixtures Analysed
8
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6WLDWDW
11 pts from 6
H
Gent
2–0
+1.3
A
FC Copenhagen
0–3
-1.1
A
Austria Vienna
0–0
—
H
Austria Vienna
2–0
—
A
Dinamo Minsk
0–0
—
H
Dinamo Minsk
1–0
—
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (8 matches)
Model expected (2 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+14.3 points against the model's expectation over the 2 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Clean sheets
7
#1 of 165
Goals conceded
0.38
#6 of 165
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.25
#76 of 165
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.38
#6 of 165
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
7
#1 of 165
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed50%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
50%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
67%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures
(5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No league table for this tie
UEFA Europa Conference League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Estádio Municipal de Braga gazetteer
Recorded form
LWLLLL
last 12: 0.83 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 42% (23 results held)
A Nacional 0-1 L · H Gent 2-0 W · H GIL Vicente 1-2 L · A FC Copenhagen 0-3 L · H Sporting CP 1-3 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Thu 5 Nov17:45in 9dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Tomás Marqués | from Barcelona | Transfer | 2026-08-20 |
| IN | Tomás Marqués | from Barcelona | Transfer | 2026-08-19 |
| OUT | L. Horníček | to Newcastle | Transfer | 2026-08-02 |
| OUT | L. Horníček | to Newcastle | Transfer | 2026-08-01 |
| IN | Pau Victor | from Barcelona | Transfer | 2025-07-25 |
| OUT | Álvaro Djaló | to Athletic Club | € 15M | 2024-07-01 |
| OUT | U. Račić | to Valencia | 2023-07-01 | |
| IN | U. Račić | from Valencia | Loan | 2022-09-01 |
| OUT | Yan Couto | to Manchester City | 2022-07-01 | |
| IN | Yan Couto | from Manchester City | Loan | 2021-08-20 |
Team data: fresh · collected 21 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do SC Braga play next?
SC Braga's next fixture in the snapshot is AGF Aarhus v SC Braga on Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 UK time (UEFA Europa Conference League).
