Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Shakhtar Donetsk — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming3 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.3%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
24th
of 26 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
3
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
SmarketsForm
last 3LWD
4 pts from 3
A
Inter
0–1
-0.6
H
AEK Athens FC
3–1
+1.3
A
PSV Eindhoven
1–1
+0.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (3 matches)
Model expected (3 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+1.0 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
1
#16 of 81
Weaknesses
Shots
10.7
#41 of 58
Shots on target
3.3
#52 of 58
Clean sheets
0
#81 of 81
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.33
#51 of 81
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
10.7
#41 of 58
On target
3.3
#52 of 58
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1
#16 of 81
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
12
#26 of 58
Clean sheets
0
#81 of 81
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed50%
Scored before half time
of 4 goals
50%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 4 goals
25%
From the penalty spot
of 4 goals
33%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures
(7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No league table for this tie
UEFA Champions League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Donbass Arena gazetteer
Recorded form
DLLWWW
last 12: 1.92 scored / 0.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 50% (36 results held)
H Zorya Luhansk 0-0 D · A Inter 0-1 L · A FC Internazionale Milano 0-1 L · H Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 W · H AEK Athens FC 3-1 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Tue 3 Nov17:45in 8dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | Kevin | to Fulham | Transfer | 2025-09-01 |
| OUT | Kevin | to Fulham | Transfer | 2025-08-30 |
| OUT | M. Solomon | to Tottenham | Free | 2023-07-11 |
| OUT | M. Mudryk | to Chelsea | € 70M | 2023-01-15 |
| OUT | M. Solomon | to Fulham | Loan | 2022-07-25 |
| OUT | Bernard | to Everton | Free | 2018-08-09 |
| IN | O. Kayode | from Manchester City | € 3M | 2018-07-02 |
| OUT | Fred | to Manchester United | € 59.4M | 2018-06-21 |
| IN | O. Kayode | from Manchester City | Loan | 2018-03-02 |
| IN | F. Ferreyra | from Newcastle | 2015-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 19 min ago
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Frequently asked questions
When do Shakhtar Donetsk play next?
Shakhtar Donetsk's next fixture in the snapshot is Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting Lisbon on Tue 3 Nov, 17:45 UK time (UEFA Champions League).