Sheffield Utd

Next match Preston v Sheffield Utd Tue 3 Nov, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sheffield Utd — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held

Model Strength

58.2

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.1%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

4th

of 24 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Tue 3 Nov19:45

Preston A — no price —

Form

last 6

DWLWLL 7 pts from 6

H Derby 1–1 -1.3

A Bristol City 1–0 +1.8

A Portsmouth 2–3 -1.1

H Lincoln 3–0 +1.4

A Stoke City 1–2 -0.6

H Wolves 0–1 -1.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.1 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 4 #5 of 24

Goals conceded 1.25 #8 of 24

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.33 #17 of 24

Points over model expectation -0.1 #17 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.33 #17 of 24

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.25 #8 of 24

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 4 #5 of 24

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 16 goals

19%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 16 goals

From the penalty spot

of 16 goals

27%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 15 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (31 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EFL Championship 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Recorded form DDWLWW last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)

H Derby 1-1 D · H Derby County 1-1 D · A Bristol City 1-0 W · A Portsmouth 2-3 L · H Lincoln 3-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

Tue 3 Nov19:45in 7d

Preston Sheffield Utd
EFL

Regular Season - 14

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	L. Kitching	from Coventry	Loan	2026-08-31
IN	K. Phillips	from Manchester City	Loan	2026-08-11
OUT	G. Hamer	to Coventry	Transfer	2026-08-11
OUT	G. Hamer	to Coventry	Transfer	2026-08-10
IN	T. Onyango	from Everton	Free agent	2026-08-06
IN	R. Donovan	from Brentford	Loan	2026-07-07
IN	T. Onyango	from Everton	Free agent	2026-06-29
OUT	Tyler Bindon	to Nottingham Forest	Return from loan	2026-06-29
OUT	K. Phillips	to Manchester City	Return from loan	2026-05-30
OUT	C. Ogbene	to Ipswich	Return from loan	2026-05-30

Team data: fresh · collected 19 h ago

Explore

Championship Next: Preston v Sheffield Utd Search Sheffield Utd matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Sheffield Utd play next?

Sheffield Utd's next fixture in the snapshot is Preston v Sheffield Utd on Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 UK time (Championship).