Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sheffield Utd — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
53.1
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.9%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WLWDDD 9 pts from 6
A Blackburn 2–1 +1.7
H Norwich 1–3 -1.6
H Bolton 3–2 +1.4
A Cardiff 2–2
A Swansea 0–0 -0.1
H Birmingham 0–0 -0.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (6 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 6 matches 0 5 9
+1.7 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Nothing ranks yet
a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.33 #13 of 24
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.33 #12 of 24
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #10 of 24

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
75%
Scored before half time
of 8 goals
13%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 8 goals
13%
From the penalty spot
of 8 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 8 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures (16 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EFL Championship 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWLLWW last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
A Blackburn 2-1 W · A Blackburn Rovers 2-1 W · H Norwich 1-3 L · H Norwich City 1-3 L · H Bolton 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 19 Sept12:30in 7d
    not modelled
    model building

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN K. Phillips from Manchester City Loan 2026-08-11
IN T. Onyango from Everton Free agent 2026-08-06
IN T. Onyango from Everton Free agent 2026-06-29
OUT K. Phillips to Manchester City Return from loan 2026-05-30
IN K. Phillips from Manchester City Loan 2026-02-01
IN Alex Matos from Chelsea Transfer 2025-08-31
OUT R. Holding to Crystal Palace Back from Loan 2025-07-01
OUT A. Gilchrist to Chelsea Back from Loan 2025-07-01
OUT J. Rak-Sakyi to Crystal Palace Back from Loan 2025-07-01
OUT A. Gilchrist to Chelsea Return from loan 2025-06-29
Team data: fresh · collected 2 h ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-01 Sheffield United v Bolton Wanderers Sheffield United to Win 1.75 → 1.71 +2.3% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

Championship Next: Stoke City v Sheffield Utd Search Sheffield Utd matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Sheffield Utd play next?
Sheffield Utd's next fixture in the snapshot is Stoke City v Sheffield Utd on Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 UK time (Championship).