Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Shelbourne — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming8 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
9th
of 10 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
8
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6DDLLWD
6 pts from 6
A
Shamrock Rovers
0–0
+0.4
A
Galway United
1–1
-0.2
H
St Patrick's Athl.
1–2
-1.2
A
Waterford
0–1
-1.3
H
Dundalk
2–1
—
A
Sligo Rovers
2–2
—
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (8 matches)
Model expected (4 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+2.7 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Points over model expectation
2.7
#7 of 10
Goals scored
1
#8 of 10
Clean sheets
1
#8 of 10
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1
#8 of 10
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.5
#6 of 10
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#8 of 10
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed0%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
100%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
50%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
100%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 1 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures
(3 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PDNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Tolka Park gazetteer
Recorded form
DDDLLL
last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)
A Shamrock Rovers 0-0 D · A Galway United 1-1 D · H Ajax 2-2 D · H St Patrick's Athl. 1-2 L · A Ajax 1-3 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Fri 18 Sept19:45in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 6 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | James Barry Norris | from Liverpool | Transfer | 2025-12-31 |
| OUT | James Barry Norris | to Liverpool | Return from loan | 2025-12-30 |
| OUT | James Barry Norris | to Liverpool | Return from loan | 2025-11-29 |
| OUT | L. Browne | to Crystal Palace | Free Transfer | 2025-07-31 |
| IN | Jack Henry-Francis | from Arsenal | Free Transfer | 2025-07-18 |
| IN | James Barry Norris | from Liverpool | Loan | 2025-02-17 |
Team data: fresh · collected just now
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Shelbourne play next?
Shelbourne's next fixture in the snapshot is Dundalk v Shelbourne on Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 UK time (Premier Division).