SP

Slavia Praha

UEFA Champions League·Eden Aréna

Next match Slavia Praha v Villarreal Wed 25 Nov, 17:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Slavia Praha — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming4 Results held

Model Strength

66.9

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

31st

of 34 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

4

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Wed 25 Nov17:45 Villarreal H — 3.00Unibet —

Form

last 4

LDLL 1 pts from 4

H Arsenal 1–2 —

A Fenerbahçe 2–2 -0.2

A Sabah FA 0–2 -1.0

H Lens 2–3 -1.7

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (4 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

-2.9 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Expected goals against 1.39 #10 of 36

Shots 17.3 #14 of 58

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 2.25 #65 of 81

Possession 46.8% #43 of 58

Shots faced 16.5 #49 of 58

Clean sheets 0 #75 of 81

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.25 #51 of 81

Expected goals 1.97 #16 of 36

Shots 17.3 #14 of 58

On target 5.8 #21 of 58

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.25 #65 of 81

Expected against 1.39 #10 of 36

Shots faced 16.5 #49 of 58

Clean sheets 0 #75 of 81

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

20%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

60%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures (14 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 25 Nov17:45in 20d
   Slavia Praha Villarreal

   UCL
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 4 recorded)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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