Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sport Recife — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming27 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
27
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WLLWLW 9 pts from 6
H Ponte Preta 2–0 +1.3
A Ceara 1–2 -1.0
A Novorizontino 1–2 -0.7
H America Mineiro 3–0 +1.2
A Avai 1–2 -1.2
H Londrina 2–1 +1.2
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (27 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 27 matches 0 21 41
+29.1 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 1.33 #5 of 20
Clean sheets 10 #5 of 20
Goals conceded 0.96 #6 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.33 #5 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.96 #6 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 10 #5 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
50%
Scored before half time
of 10 goals
30%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 10 goals
20%
From the penalty spot
of 10 goals
44%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 9 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 27 stored fixtures (19 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BSB Brazil Série B 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WLLWLW last 12: 1.5 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
H Ponte Preta 2-0 W · A Ceara 1-2 L · A Novorizontino 1-2 L · H America Mineiro 3-0 W · A Avai 1-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Wed 16 Sept01:00in 3d
    not modelled
    model building

Explore

Brazil Série B Next: Clube de Regatas Brasil v Sport Recife Search Sport Recife matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Sport Recife play next?
Sport Recife's next fixture in the snapshot is Clube de Regatas Brasil v Sport Recife on Wed 16 Sept, 01:00 UK time (Brazil Série B).