Stoke City

ChampionshipBritannia Stadium

Next match Stoke City v Preston North End Sat 31 Oct, 12:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Stoke City — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held

Model Strength

63.7

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

1st

of 24 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct12:30

Preston North End H — 1.74

Casumo —

Form

last 6

DWLWWW 13 pts from 6

H Bristol City 0–0 -1.0

A Derby 1–0 +1.3

H Middlesbrough 2–3 -2.1

A Bolton 2–1 +1.2

H Sheffield Utd 2–1 +0.8

A Watford 2–1 +2.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.2 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 4 #4 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.5 #11 of 24

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.33 #12 of 24

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 4 #4 of 24

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

60%

Scored before half time

of 15 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 15 goals

From the penalty spot

of 15 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 12 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EFL Championship 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: Britannia Stadium gazetteer

Recorded form DWWLWW last 12: 1.83 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 42% (25 results held)

H Bristol City 0-0 D · A Derby 1-0 W · A Derby County 1-0 W · H Middlesbrough 2-3 L · A Bolton Wanderers 2-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 31 Oct12:30in 4d

Stoke City Preston North End
EFL

Regular Season - 13

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	S. Thomas	to Hull City	Transfer	2026-08-31
IN	J. Devenny	from Crystal Palace	Transfer	2026-08-31
OUT	S. Thomas	to Hull City	Transfer	2026-08-30
IN	J. Devenny	from Crystal Palace	Transfer	2026-08-30
IN	B. Johnson	from Ipswich	Loan	2026-08-20
IN	G. Hirst	from Ipswich	Transfer	2026-08-19
IN	G. Hirst	from Ipswich	Transfer	2026-08-18
OUT	D. Mubama	to Manchester City	Return from loan	2026-06-29
OUT	J. Rak-Sakyi	to Crystal Palace	Return from loan	2026-05-30
OUT	A. Phillips	to Tottenham	Return from loan	2026-05-30

Team data: fresh · collected 8 h ago

Explore

Championship Next: Stoke City v Preston North End Search Stoke City matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Stoke City play next?

Stoke City's next fixture in the snapshot is Stoke City v Preston North End on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 UK time (Championship).