Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Tokyo Verdy — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 2 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
18th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
DLLDLD 3 pts from 6
A Cerezo Osaka 0–0 +0.0
H Vissel Kobe 0–2 -1.2
H Kashima 0–2
A Fagiano Okayama 0–0 -0.2
H Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 -1.3
H Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 +0.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (6 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 6 matches 0 3 6
-2.6 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 2 #7 of 20
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation -2.6 #19 of 20
Goals scored 0.33 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.33 #20 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.33 #10 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #7 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
No goal detail stored
the minute-level event feed has not been collected for this club's fixtures

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
JL J League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Ajinomoto Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form WDLLWD last 12: 0.88 scored / 1.13 conceded per game · Over 2.5 25% · BTTS 38% · clean sheets 38% (8 results held)
A Biwako Shiga 1-0 W · A Cerezo Osaka 0-0 D · H Vissel Kobe 0-2 L · H Kashima 0-2 L · H Thespakusatsu Gunma 4-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept10:00in 37h 15m
    not modelled
    model building

Explore

J League Next: Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba Search Tokyo Verdy matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Tokyo Verdy play next?
Tokyo Verdy's next fixture in the snapshot is Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba on Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 UK time (J League).