Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Tokyo Verdy — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 2 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
18th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6DLLDLD
3 pts from 6
A
Cerezo Osaka
0–0
+0.0
H
Vissel Kobe
0–2
-1.2
H
Kashima
0–2
—
A
Fagiano Okayama
0–0
-0.2
H
Kashiwa Reysol
1–3
-1.3
H
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
+0.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches)
Model expected (6 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-2.6 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Clean sheets
2
#7 of 20
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation
-2.6
#19 of 20
Goals scored
0.33
#20 of 20
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
0.33
#20 of 20
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.33
#10 of 20
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#7 of 20
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feedNo goal detail stored
the minute-level event feed has not been collected for this club's fixtures
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Ajinomoto Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
WDLLWD
last 12: 0.88 scored / 1.13 conceded per game · Over 2.5 25% · BTTS 38% · clean sheets 38% (8 results held)
A Biwako Shiga 1-0 W · A Cerezo Osaka 0-0 D · H Vissel Kobe 0-2 L · H Kashima 0-2 L · H Thespakusatsu Gunma 4-1 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 13 Sept10:00in 37h 15mnot modelledmodel building—
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Tokyo Verdy play next?
Tokyo Verdy's next fixture in the snapshot is Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba on Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 UK time (J League).
