UC

U. Catolica

Primera División

Next match U. Catolica v A. Italiano Wed 28 Oct, 23:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for U. Catolica — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming24 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

Not enough data

a complete three-way price is held for 0 of this club's fixtures

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

24

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct23:30 A. Italiano H — no price — Sun 1 Nov20:15 Universidad de Chile H — no price —

Form

last 6

LWWWWL 12 pts from 6

A Union La Calera 1–3 —

A Palestino 3–2 —

A Everton de Vina 1–0 —

H O'Higgins 3–2 —

A Coquimbo Unido 2–1 —

H Nublense 1–2 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (24 matches) Model expected Ahead Behind

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 2.13 #1 of 16

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 5 #11 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.13 #1 of 16

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.5 #10 of 16

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 5 #11 of 16

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

55%

Scored before half time

of 11 goals

27%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 11 goals

36%

From the penalty spot

of 11 goals

20%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 10 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 24 stored fixtures (21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

PD Primera División 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct23:30in 39h 29m
   U. Catolica A. Italiano

   PD

   Regular Season - 24
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov20:15in 6d
   U. Catolica Universidad de Chile

   PD

   Regular Season - 26
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

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