Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Union St. Gilloise — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming9 Results held
Model Strength
69.6
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.4%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
6th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
9
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6WDWWWW
16 pts from 6
H
Cercle Brugge
5–2
+0.4
H
OH Leuven
1–1
-1.4
A
Antwerp
2–0
+0.9
H
Lommel United
5–0
+1.2
A
Charleroi
3–2
+1.8
A
St. Truiden
3–0
+1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (9 matches)
Model expected (6 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+11.7 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
3
#1 of 18
Clean sheets
5
#2 of 18
Points over model expectation
11.7
#2 of 18
Goals conceded
0.67
#3 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
3
#1 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.67
#3 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
5
#2 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed32%
Scored before half time
of 19 goals
26%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 19 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 19 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 7 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures
(26 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
JPLNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
WWWDDW
last 12: 2.75 scored / 0.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 67% (22 results held)
H Cercle Brugge 5-2 W · H Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 W · H Nijlen 3-0 W · H Real Sociedad 1-1 D · H OH Leuven 1-1 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct19:45in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | P. David | to Brighton | Loan | 2026-08-17 |
| OUT | A. Khalaili | to Crystal Palace | Transfer | 2026-08-14 |
| OUT | A. Khalaili | to Crystal Palace | Transfer | 2026-08-13 |
| OUT | A. Khalaili | to Crystal Palace | Transfer | 2026-08-09 |
| OUT | K. Scherpen | to Ipswich | Transfer | 2026-07-27 |
| OUT | K. Scherpen | to Ipswich | Transfer | 2026-07-26 |
| IN | K. Scherpen | from Brighton | Transfer | 2025-07-24 |
| OUT | N. Sadiki | to Sunderland | Transfer | 2025-07-04 |
| OUT | N. Sadiki | to Sunderland | Transfer | 2025-07-02 |
| OUT | S. Adingra | to Brighton | 2023-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
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Frequently asked questions
When do Union St. Gilloise play next?
Union St. Gilloise's next fixture in the snapshot is SK Beveren v Union St. Gilloise on Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time (Jupiler Pro League).