Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Valladolid — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
59
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.4%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
17th
of 22 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6LLWDWD
8 pts from 6
A
Granada CF
1–2
-1.1
H
Eldense
2–3
-1.4
H
Albacete
5–0
+1.7
A
Las Palmas
2–2
-0.4
H
Cordoba
3–1
+1.8
A
AD Ceuta FC
1–1
-0.4
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches)
Model expected (11 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-1.1 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Goals conceded
1.45
#15 of 22
Points over model expectation
-1.1
#17 of 22
Clean sheets
2
#19 of 22
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.45
#9 of 22
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.45
#15 of 22
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#19 of 22
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed59%
Scored before half time
of 17 goals
6%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 17 goals
6%
From the penalty spot
of 17 goals
15%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 13 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures
(30 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SDNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
LLLLWW
last 12: 2.33 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 83% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)
A Granada CF 1-2 L · A Granada CF 1-2 L · H Eldense 2-3 L · H CD Eldense 2-3 L · H Albacete 5-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Mon 2 Nov17:30in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Víctor Fernández | from Valencia | Loan | 2026-07-07 |
| IN | Victor Barberá | from Barcelona | Free agent | 2026-06-30 |
| OUT | Sergi Canós | to Valencia | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| IN | Sergi Canós | from Valencia | Loan | 2025-09-01 |
| IN | Trilli | from Barcelona | Free agent | 2025-07-17 |
| OUT | E. Cömert | to Valencia | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| OUT | C. Özkacar | to Valencia | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| OUT | K. Hein | to Arsenal | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| OUT | E. Cömert | to Valencia | Return from loan | 2025-06-29 |
| OUT | C. Özkacar | to Valencia | Return from loan | 2025-06-29 |
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Valladolid play next?
Valladolid's next fixture in the snapshot is Valladolid v Leganes on Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 UK time (Segunda División).