SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Varbergs BoIS FC
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Varbergs BoIS FC

SuperettanPåskbergsvallen
Next match GIF Sundsvall v Varbergs BoIS Sat 7 Nov, 14:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Varbergs BoIS FC — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming28 Results held
Model Strength
60
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.7%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
15th
of 16 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
28
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 7 Nov14:00 GIF Sundsvall crest GIF Sundsvall A — no price —

Form

last 6
DDDWWL 9 pts from 6
A Landskrona BoIS 1–1 +0.2
H Helsingborg 0–0 -0.6
A Ostersunds FK 1–1 -0.2
H IK brage 3–2 +1.5
A Norrby IF 2–1 +2.0
H IFK Norrkoping 0–2 -1.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (28 matches) Model expected (13 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 28 matches 0 24 47
+32.5 points against the model's expectation over the 13 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 32.5 #3 of 16
Goals conceded 1.25 #4 of 16
Goals scored 1.64 #6 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.64 #6 of 16
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.25 #4 of 16
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 6 #10 of 16

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
30%
Scored before half time
of 10 goals
30%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 10 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 10 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 12 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 28 stored fixtures (22 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SUP Superettan 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Påskbergsvallen gazetteer
Recorded form DDDDWW last 12: 1.42 scored / 0.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 33% (20 results held)
A Landskrona BoIS 1-1 D · H Helsingborg 0-0 D · H Helsingborgs IF 0-0 D · A Ostersunds FK 1-1 D · H IK brage 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov14:00in 6d
    GIF Sundsvall crestGIF Sundsvall Varbergs BoIS FC crestVarbergs BoIS
    SUP
    Regular Season - 30
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

Superettan Next: GIF Sundsvall v Varbergs BoIS FC Search Varbergs BoIS FC matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Varbergs BoIS FC play next?
Varbergs BoIS FC's next fixture in the snapshot is GIF Sundsvall v Varbergs BoIS FC on Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 UK time (Superettan).