SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Verl
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Verl

3. LigaSportclub Arena
Next match Verl v SV Wehen Sat 31 Oct, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Verl — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
73
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.7%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
11th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 31 Oct13:00 SV Wehen crest SV Wehen H — no price —

Form

last 6
LLDDWD 6 pts from 6
A FC Viktoria Köln 1–3 -1.0
A Hoffenheim II 1–2 -1.3
H SSV Jahn Regensburg 2–2 -0.4
A Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–2 -0.4
H Würzburger Kickers 2–1 +1.5
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1–1 -0.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 11 matches 0 6 12
-0.2 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Clean sheets 1 #16 of 20
Points over model expectation -0.2 #16 of 20
Goals conceded 2 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.45 #13 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2 #17 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #16 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
54%
Scored before half time
of 13 goals
15%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 13 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 13 goals
29%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 14 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures (27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
3L 3. Liga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie 3. Liga is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Sportclub Arena gazetteer
Recorded form LLLLDD last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.83 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 92% · clean sheets 0% (21 results held)
A FC Viktoria Köln 1-3 L · A FC Viktoria Köln 1904 1-3 L · A Hoffenheim II 1-2 L · A TSG Hoffenheim II 1-2 L · H SSV Jahn Regensburg 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct13:00in 4d
    Verl crestVerl SV Wehen crestSV Wehen
    3L
    Regular Season - 12
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

3. Liga Next: Verl v SV Wehen Search Verl matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Verl play next?
Verl's next fixture in the snapshot is Verl v SV Wehen on Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 UK time (3. Liga).