Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for VfL Osnabrück — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held
Model Strength
54.2
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.9%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
15th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
9
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WLDDLW 8 pts from 6
H SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 +1.5
A Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 -1.3
H Dynamo Dresden 1–1 -0.4
A Holstein Kiel 1–1 -0.1
H Hertha BSC 1–3 -1.6
H Eintracht Braunschweig 3–1 +1.4
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 9 matches 0 6 11
-0.1 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Nothing ranks yet
a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.56 #9 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.67 #11 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #7 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
36%
Scored before half time
of 11 goals
45%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 11 goals
9%
From the penalty spot
of 11 goals
33%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 9 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (20 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BUN Bundesliga 2 - Germany 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Stadion an der Bremer Brücke gazetteer
Recorded form WWLDLL last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.67 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (19 results held)
H SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-0 W · H Greuther Fürth 3-0 W · A Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 L · H Dynamo Dresden 1-1 D · H Djurgardens IF 0-1 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct12:00in 4h 12m
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN J. Grot from Leeds Free 2021-02-01
IN L. Reis from Barcelona Loan 2020-10-03
Team data: fresh · collected 8 min ago

Explore

Bundesliga 2 - Germany Next: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück Search VfL Osnabrück matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do VfL Osnabrück play next?
VfL Osnabrück's next fixture in the snapshot is VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 UK time (Bundesliga 2 - Germany).