V

Vitoria

Serie A·Estádio D. Afonso Henriques

Next match Coritiba v Vitoria Thu 29 Oct, 22:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Vitoria — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming32 Results held

Model Strength

61.5

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

+10.3%

3 settled

Model Rank

16th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

32

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Thu 29 Oct22:30 Coritiba A — no price — Sat 31 Oct19:00 Coritiba A — 3.10LeoVegas —

Form

last 6

DDLWLD 6 pts from 6

H Atletico Paranaense 1–1 -0.3

A Corinthians 1–1 +0.3

A Sao Paulo 1–2 -0.7

H Chapecoense-sc 4–0 +1.2

H Cruzeiro 1–3 -1.4

A Mirassol 2–2 +0.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (32 matches) Model expected (14 priced) Ahead Behind

+23.0 points against the model's expectation over the 14 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 11 #3 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.44 #14 of 20

Goals scored 1.09 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.09 #17 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.44 #14 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 11 #3 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

57%

Scored before half time

of 14 goals

7%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 14 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 14 goals

21%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 14 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 32 stored fixtures (28 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Thu 29 Oct22:30in 3d
   Coritiba Vitoria

   SA

   Regular Season - 33
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct19:00in 5d
   Coritiba Vitoria

   BSA
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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