Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Walsall — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
57.4
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
888sportForm
last 6LWDDDW
9 pts from 6
H
Salford City
2–4
-1.6
H
Oldham
3–0
+1.0
A
Swindon Town
1–1
-0.1
A
Fleetwood Town
1–1
+0.3
A
Tranmere
1–1
+0.2
H
Port Vale
2–0
+1.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches)
Model expected (12 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+4.1 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Clean sheets
6
#2 of 24
Goals conceded
0.92
#3 of 24
Goals scored
1.5
#7 of 24
Points over model expectation
4.1
#7 of 24
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.5
#7 of 24
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.92
#3 of 24
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
6
#2 of 24
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed40%
Scored before half time
of 15 goals
20%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 15 goals
13%
From the penalty spot
of 15 goals
17%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 12 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures
(27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Bescot Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
LWWDWD
last 12: 1.5 scored / 1.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 42% (23 results held)
H Salford City 2-4 L · H Oldham 3-0 W · H Oldham Athletic 3-0 W · A Swindon Town 1-1 D · H Fulham U21 3-2 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct15:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Roman Dixon | from Everton | Free agent | 2026-08-10 |
| IN | Roman Dixon | from Everton | Free agent | 2026-08-09 |
| IN | C. Crew | from Leeds | Loan | 2026-08-04 |
| IN | Isaac Moore | from Coventry | Loan | 2026-07-06 |
| OUT | A. Loupalo-Bi | to Fulham | Return from loan | 2026-05-30 |
| IN | A. Loupalo-Bi | from Fulham | Loan | 2026-01-14 |
| OUT | J. Stuttle | to Bournemouth | Return from loan | 2025-08-21 |
| OUT | E. Wheatley | to Manchester United | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| IN | J. Stuttle | from Bournemouth | Loan | 2025-06-30 |
| OUT | E. Wheatley | to Manchester United | Return from loan | 2025-06-29 |
Team data: fresh · collected 44 min ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Walsall play next?
Walsall's next fixture in the snapshot is Colchester United v Walsall on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time (League 2).