SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Waterford
Join free channel

Waterford

Premier Division
Next match Shamrock Rovers v Waterford Fri 18 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Waterford — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.3%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 10 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
9
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Fri 18 Sept20:00 Shamrock Rovers crest Shamrock Rovers A — no price —

Form

last 6
WDWWDD 12 pts from 6
A St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 +2.3
A Sligo Rovers 0–0 +0.0
H Bohemians 3–1 +1.7
H Shelbourne 1–0 +1.6
A Galway United 0–0 -0.5
H St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 9 matches 0 9 18
+12.1 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 12.1 #1 of 10
Goals conceded 0.89 #2 of 10
Clean sheets 4 #2 of 10

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.56 #5 of 10
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.89 #2 of 10
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 4 #2 of 10

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
0%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
50%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
—
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 0 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (2 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PD Premier Division 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWDWWW last 12: 1.83 scored / 0.67 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 50% (40 results held)
H Sligo Rovers 3-0 W · A St Patrick's Athl. 2-0 W · A Sligo Rovers 0-0 D · H Athlone Town 2-1 W · H Bohemians 3-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Fri 18 Sept20:00in 7d
    Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers Waterford crestWaterford
    PD
    Regular Season - 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 4 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Rowan McDonald from Manchester City Free 2023-08-23
IN T. Wilson from Manchester City 2020-01-31
IN Desmond Hutchinson from Brighton 2018-07-01
IN Dylan Mark Barnett from Brighton 2018-02-01
Team data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

Premier Division Next: Shamrock Rovers v Waterford Search Waterford matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Waterford play next?
Waterford's next fixture in the snapshot is Shamrock Rovers v Waterford on Fri 18 Sept, 20:00 UK time (Premier Division).