Würzburger Kickers

3. Ligaflyeralarm Arena

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Würzburger Kickers — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming4 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.3%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs
Fixtures Analysed
4
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 4
LLWD 4 pts from 4
H Stuttgart II 1–2 -1.4
A MSV Duisburg 0–3 -1.1
H SV Wehen 4–0
A FC Ingolstadt 04 2–2
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (4 matches) Model expected (2 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 4 matches 0 2 4
+1.4 points against the model's expectation over the 2 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Nothing ranks yet
a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.75 #8 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.75 #9 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #11 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
100%
Scored before half time
of 1 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 1 goals
100%
From the penalty spot
of 1 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 5 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures (6 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
3L 3. Liga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie 3. Liga is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: flyeralarm Arena gazetteer
Recorded form LLLLWW last 12: 2.09 scored / 1.45 conceded per game · Over 2.5 100% · BTTS 64% · clean sheets 27% (11 results held)
H Stuttgart II 1-2 L · H VfB Stuttgart II 1-2 L · A MSV Duisburg 0-3 L · H 1. FC Köln 1-2 L · H Wehen Wiesbaden 4-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Fri 18 Sept18:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building

Explore

3. Liga Next: Verl v Würzburger Kickers Search Würzburger Kickers matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Würzburger Kickers play next?
Würzburger Kickers's next fixture in the snapshot is Verl v Würzburger Kickers on Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 UK time (3. Liga).