AC Milan v Inter Milan — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
AC MilanvInter Milan
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45AC Milan3.25Unibet (UK)
Draw3.75Betfred (UK)
Inter Milan2.10Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 14 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: San Siro · cap 75,817 (home ground — gazetteer)Kickoff weather: 11.4°C · rain 0 mm · wind 5.1 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WLWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Udinese (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | at Bournemouth (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Atalanta (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Atalanta BC (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | at Red Bull Salzburg (A) | 4-0 | W |
Key players (this season, by minutes)
| Player | Apps | Mins | G | A | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 K. De Winter Defender |
2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.8 |
 M. Maignan Goalkeeper |
2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.7 |
 S. Pavlović Defender |
2 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 1Y | 6.7 |
 A. Jashari Midfielder |
2 | 163 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.7 |
 D. Bartesaghi Midfielder |
2 | 147 | 0 | 1 | — | 7.1 |
WWWWLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Fiorentina (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | at Inca Aruba (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Shakhtar Donetsk (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at Bologna (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Municipal Limeño (H) | 1-2 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 5 | 15 | 7 | +7 | WDWDD |
| Inter Milan | 2 | 19 | 7 | +12 | WWDWW |
AC Milan: 7 pts behind 1st · 12 pts above 20th
Inter Milan: 3 pts behind 1st · 16 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
AC Milan 1 win2 drawsInter Milan 3avg 2.8 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | AC Milan v Inter | 1-1 | World — Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-02-02 | Milan v Inter | 1-1 | Serie A |
| 2024-09-22 | Inter v Milan | 1-2 | Serie A |
| 2024-04-22 | Milan v Inter | 1-2 | Serie A |
| 2023-09-16 | Inter v Milan | 5-1 | Serie A |
| 2023-02-05 | Inter v Milan | 1-0 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
AC Milansnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| C. Nkunku | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Rabiot | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Saelemaekers | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| S. Chukwueze | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| F. Tomori | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| R. Leao | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| Y. Fofana | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| G. Ramos | Questionable | Calf Injury |
| M. Gabbia | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| S. Gimenez | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| M. Gila | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| D. Moreira | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| C. Nkunku | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Saelemaekers | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| S. Chukwueze | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
Inter Milansnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| L. Martinez | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| C. Jones | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| J. Stones | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Mkhitaryan | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| H. Calhanoglu | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| B. Pavard | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| Luis Henrique | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Spence | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Spinacce | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| L. Martinez | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| C. Jones | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| J. Stones | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Mkhitaryan | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| H. Calhanoglu | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| B. Pavard | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do AC Milan play Inter Milan?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.