AM

AC Milan

Serie A - Italy·5 of 20 in the table·7 points·San Siro

Next match Lazio v AC Milan Sat 12 Sept, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for AC Milan — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

79

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept17:00 Lazio A — 2.38Smarkets — Wed 16 Sept20:00 Benfica H — 2.20Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

DWW 7 pts from 3

A Juventus 1–1 +0.1

H Venezia 2–0 —

A Torino 2–1 +2.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.1 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 10.3 #4 of 20

Goals conceded 0.67 #5 of 20

Goals scored 1.67 #7 of 20

Possession 56% #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Shots 12.7 #14 of 20

Shots on target 3.3 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.67 #7 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 12.7 #14 of 20

On target 3.3 #17 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.67 #5 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 10.3 #4 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #9 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

0%

Scored before half time

of 4 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 4 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 4 goals

100%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#5

Position

7

Points from 3 played

+3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
3	Lazio	3	3	9
4	Como	3	4	7
5	AC Milan	3	3	7
6	Juventus	3	3	7
7	Frosinone	3	3	6

AC Milan and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept17:00in 21h 24m
   Lazio AC Milan

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 16 Sept20:00in 5d
   AC Milan Benfica

   UEL
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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