C

Como

Serie A - Italy·4 of 20 in the table·17 points·Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Next match Torino v Como Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Como — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

14th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Tue 27 Oct19:45 Torino A — 1.80Betfair — Sun 1 Nov11:30 Venezia H — 1.35Casumo — Wed 4 Nov20:00 RC Lens A — 2.25Betfred —

Form

last 6

WWDLWW 13 pts from 6

H Sassuolo 2–0 +1.5

A Fiorentina 3–1 +2.3

H AS Roma 0–0 +0.1

A Frosinone 0–2 -1.4

H Parma 2–1 +1.6

A Genoa 4–1 +2.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+8.8 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots 20.5 #2 of 20

Shots on target 6.8 #2 of 20

Possession 60.5% #2 of 20

Points over model expectation 8.8 #2 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.75 #8 of 20

Expected goals 1.85 #5 of 20

Shots 20.5 #2 of 20

On target 6.8 #2 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.88 #4 of 20

Expected against 1.48 #12 of 20

Shots faced 13.8 #8 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #9 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

57%

Scored before half time

of 14 goals

14%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 14 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 14 goals

14%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 7 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#4

Position

17

Points from 8 played

+7

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
2	Inter	7	12	19
3	AS Roma	8	13	18
4	Como	8	7	17
5	AC Milan	7	7	15
6	Frosinone	7	4	13

Como and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct19:45in 20h 02m
   Torino Como

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov11:30in 5d
   Como Venezia

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Wed 4 Nov20:00in 9d
   RC Lens Como

   UCL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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