C

Como

Serie A - Italy·4 of 20 in the table·7 points·Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Next match Como v Parma Mon 14 Sept, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Como — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

6th

of 6 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Mon 14 Sept17:30 Parma H — 1.35William Hill — Mon 14 Sept17:30 Parma H — 1.25Betfred —

Form

last 3

WWD 7 pts from 3

A Genoa 4–1 +2.0

A Napoli 2–1 +2.5

A Udinese 1–1 +0.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.7 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 4.7 #1 of 6

Goals scored 2.33 #3 of 20

Shots 20.3 #3 of 20

Shots on target 7 #3 of 20

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 0 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.33 #3 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 20.3 #3 of 20

On target 7 #3 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #9 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 13.7 #9 of 20

Clean sheets 0 #19 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

71%

Scored before half time

of 7 goals

14%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 7 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 7 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (10 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#4

Position

7

Points from 3 played

+4

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
2	Inter	3	5	9
3	Lazio	3	3	9
4	Como	3	4	7
5	AC Milan	3	3	7
6	Juventus	3	3	7

Como and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Mon 14 Sept17:30in 3d
   Como Parma

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Mon 14 Sept17:30in 3d
   Como Parma

   SA
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 9 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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