AR

AS Roma

Serie A - Italy·1 of 20 in the table·9 points·Stadio Olimpico

Next match Torino v AS Roma Mon 14 Sept, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for AS Roma — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

78

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Mon 14 Sept17:30 Torino A — 1.73Betfred — Mon 14 Sept17:30 Torino A — 1.62Smarkets — Sat 19 Sept17:00 Inter Milan H — 2.60Grosvenor —

Form

last 3

WWW 9 pts from 3

H Atalanta 2–1 +1.0

A Lecce 4–0 —

H Fiorentina 4–0 +1.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.1 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 3.33 #1 of 20

Goals conceded 0.33 #1 of 20

Shots on target 8.7 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #1 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 3.33 #1 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 23.7 #2 of 20

On target 8.7 #1 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.33 #1 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 7.3 #2 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #1 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

40%

Scored before half time

of 10 goals

30%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 10 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 10 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 1 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#1

Position

9

Points from 3 played

+9

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	3	9	9
2	Inter	3	5	9
3	Lazio	3	3	9

AS Roma and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Mon 14 Sept17:30in 3d
   Torino AS Roma

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Mon 14 Sept17:30in 3d
   Torino AS Roma

   SA
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Sat 19 Sept17:00in 8d
   AS Roma Inter Milan

   SA

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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