AR

AS Roma

Serie A - Italy·3 of 20 in the table·18 points·Stadio Olimpico

Next match AS Roma v Cagliari Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for AS Roma — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

4 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

78

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

2 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

5th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

4 priced

Tue 27 Oct19:45 Cagliari H — 1.37Matchbook — Wed 28 Oct17:45 Chelsea A — 29.00Unibet — Sat 31 Oct17:00 Udinese A — 1.58Unibet — Tue 3 Nov20:00 Manchester United A — 2.95Grosvenor —

Form

last 6

DWDDWW 12 pts from 6

A Napoli 3–3 -0.1

H Genoa 2–0 +0.8

A Como 0–0 -0.8

H Inter 2–2 -0.5

A Torino 2–0 +1.4

H Atalanta 2–1 +1.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.8 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 5 #1 of 20

Goals scored 2.38 #2 of 20

Goals conceded 0.75 #2 of 20

Expected goals for 2.06 #2 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.38 #2 of 20

Expected goals 2.06 #2 of 20

Shots 18.9 #3 of 20

On target 5.8 #5 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.75 #2 of 20

Expected against 1.23 #6 of 20

Shots faced 11 #4 of 20

Clean sheets 5 #1 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

37%

Scored before half time

of 19 goals

26%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 19 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 19 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (25 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 4 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#3

Position

18

Points from 8 played

+13

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	8	11	22
2	Inter	7	12	19
3	AS Roma	8	13	18
4	Como	8	7	17
5	AC Milan	7	7	15

AS Roma and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct19:45in 19h 44m
   AS Roma Cagliari

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 28 Oct17:45in 41h 44m
   Chelsea AS Roma

   UCL

   League Stage - 3
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Sat 31 Oct17:00in 5d
   Udinese AS Roma

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —
4. Tue 3 Nov20:00in 8d
   Manchester United AS Roma

   UCL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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