L

Lazio

Serie A - Italy·1 of 20 in the table·22 points·Stadio Olimpico

Next match Sassuolo v Lazio Tue 27 Oct, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lazio — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

78.5

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

4th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Tue 27 Oct17:30 Sassuolo A — 2.22Betfair Exchange — Sun 1 Nov14:00 Cagliari H — 1.60Casumo —

Form

last 6

WWWWDW 16 pts from 6

H Parma 2–1 +1.0

A Juventus 3–0 +2.3

H Monza 3–1 +0.8

A Venezia 2–0 +1.1

H AC Milan 2–2 -0.5

A Udinese 2–1 +1.6

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+9.1 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.63 #1 of 20

Points over model expectation 9.1 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 4 #2 of 20

Goals scored 2 #4 of 20

Weaknesses

Shots on target 4.3 #14 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2 #4 of 20

Expected goals 1.4 #13 of 20

Shots 13.8 #12 of 20

On target 4.3 #14 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.63 #1 of 20

Expected against 1.27 #9 of 20

Shots faced 12.3 #5 of 20

Clean sheets 4 #2 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

40%

Scored before half time

of 15 goals

27%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 15 goals

7%

From the penalty spot

of 15 goals

14%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 7 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (22 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#1

Position

22

Points from 8 played

+11

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	8	11	22
2	Inter	7	12	19
3	AS Roma	8	13	18

Lazio and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct17:30in 17h 04m
   Sassuolo Lazio

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov14:00in 6d
   Lazio Cagliari

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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