L

Lazio

Serie A - Italy·3 of 20 in the table·9 points·Stadio Olimpico

Next match Lazio v AC Milan Sat 12 Sept, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lazio — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

2nd

of 6 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept17:00 AC Milan H — 3.55Smarkets — Sat 19 Sept19:45 Venezia A — 2.45Grosvenor —

Form

last 3

WWW 9 pts from 3

A Udinese 2–1 +1.6

H Genoa 1–0 +0.9

A Bologna 1–0 +2.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.4 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.33 #2 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #2 of 20

Points over model expectation 4.4 #2 of 6

Shots faced 10.7 #5 of 20

Weaknesses

Shots on target 3.7 #15 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.33 #10 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 14.7 #8 of 20

On target 3.7 #15 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.33 #2 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 10.7 #5 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #2 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

25%

Scored before half time

of 4 goals

50%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 4 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 4 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 1 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#3

Position

9

Points from 3 played

+3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	3	9	9
2	Inter	3	5	9
3	Lazio	3	3	9
4	Como	3	4	7
5	AC Milan	3	3	7

Lazio and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept17:00in 21h 24m
   Lazio AC Milan

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 19 Sept19:45in 8d
   Venezia Lazio

   SA

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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