Lazio v Cagliari — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
LaziovCagliari
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00Lazio1.60Casumo
Draw4.00Betfred (UK)
Cagliari6.00Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 14 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadio Olimpico, RomeKickoff weather: 18.4°C · rain 0 mm · wind 15.8 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWWDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.08 / 0.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Parma (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Parma Calcio 1913 (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Juventus (A) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Monza (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs Juve Stabia (H) | 3-3 | D |
LLDWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.83 / 1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs Bologna (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-19 | at Monza (A) | 0-4 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Juventus (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | at Udinese (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-12 | at Atalanta (A) | 2-1 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 1 | 22 | 8 | +11 | WWWWD |
| Cagliari | 8 | 13 | 8 | -3 | LLDWW |
Lazio: level on points with 1st · 19 pts above 20th
Cagliari: 9 pts behind 1st · 10 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Lazio 5 wins1 drawCagliari 0avg 3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | Cagliari v Lazio | 1-2 | Serie A |
| 2024-11-04 | Lazio v Cagliari | 2-1 | Serie A |
| 2024-02-10 | Cagliari v Lazio | 1-3 | Serie A |
| 2023-12-02 | Lazio v Cagliari | 1-0 | Serie A |
| 2022-03-05 | Cagliari v Lazio | 0-3 | Serie A |
| 2021-09-19 | Lazio v Cagliari | 2-2 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Laziosnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Gigot | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Patric | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Marusic | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Cataldi | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| A. Gudmundsson | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| N. Rovella | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| D. Doekhi | Missing Fixture | Hand Injury |
| A. Furlanetto | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Dele-Bashiru | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Cancellieri | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| S. Gigot | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Patric | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| A. Marusic | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| D. Cataldi | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
Cagliarisnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| H. Winks | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| S. Esposito | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| Y. Mina | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Nzola | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| M. Felici | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Sugawara | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Kevin | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| R. Idrissi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Albarracin | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Y. Trepy | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Esposito | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| Y. Mina | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Nzola | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| M. Felici | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Sugawara | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
Sassuolo v LazioTorino v ComoAS Roma v CagliariVenezia v Inter MilanAC Milan v BolognaParma v Udinese
Frequently asked questions
When do Lazio play Cagliari?
Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.