C

Cagliari

Serie A - Italy·9 of 20 in the table·6 points·Unipol Domus

Next match Atalanta BC v Cagliari Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Cagliari — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

77

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept19:45 Atalanta BC A — 6.50Grosvenor — Sat 19 Sept14:00 Udinese A — 3.95Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

WLW 6 pts from 3

H Lecce 1–0 +1.2

H Inter 0–1 —

A Parma 1–0 +2.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+3.4 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.33 #4 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #4 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 0.67 #15 of 20

Shots faced 17.7 #15 of 20

Possession 43.3% #16 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.67 #15 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 14.7 #9 of 20

On target 4.7 #8 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.33 #4 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 17.7 #15 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #4 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 2 goals

50%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 2 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 2 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 1 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (3 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#9

Position

6

Points from 3 played

+1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
7	Frosinone	3	3	6
8	Atalanta	3	1	6
9	Cagliari	3	1	6
10	Sassuolo	3	0	4
11	Udinese	3	0	4

Cagliari and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept19:45in 24h 09m
   Atalanta BC Cagliari

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 19 Sept14:00in 8d
   Udinese Cagliari

   SA

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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