C

Cagliari

Serie A - Italy·8 of 20 in the table·13 points·Unipol Domus

Next match AS Roma v Cagliari Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Cagliari — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

68.1

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.5%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

15th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Tue 27 Oct19:45 AS Roma A — 11.00Matchbook — Sun 1 Nov14:00 Lazio A — 6.00Betfred —

Form

last 6

LLDWWW 10 pts from 6

H Bologna 0–2 -1.5

A Monza 0–4 -1.1

H Juventus 1–1 +0.2

A Udinese 1–0 +2.1

A Atalanta 2–1 +2.2

H Lecce 1–0 +1.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.3 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 3 #5 of 20

Goals conceded 1.13 #6 of 20

Points over model expectation 5.3 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Expected goals against 1.91 #17 of 20

Shots on target 3.6 #17 of 20

Goals scored 0.75 #18 of 20

Expected goals for 0.93 #18 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.75 #18 of 20

Expected goals 0.93 #18 of 20

Shots 9.8 #20 of 20

On target 3.6 #17 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.13 #6 of 20

Expected against 1.91 #17 of 20

Shots faced 18.4 #18 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #5 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

17%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

33%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (15 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#8

Position

13

Points from 8 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
6	Frosinone	7	4	13
7	Torino	8	2	13
8	Cagliari	8	-3	13
9	Napoli	8	3	11
10	Juventus	7	1	11

Cagliari and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Tue 27 Oct19:45in 17h 16m
   AS Roma Cagliari

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov14:00in 5d
   Lazio Cagliari

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 7 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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