N

Napoli

Serie A - Italy·12 of 20 in the table·3 points·Diego Armando Maradona

Next match Napoli v Bologna Sun 13 Sept, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Napoli — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

76

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

3rd

of 6 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept17:00 Bologna H — 1.82Smarkets — Sun 20 Sept11:30 Fiorentina A — 2.25Grosvenor —

Form

last 3

LLW 3 pts from 3

A Inter 2–3 -0.9

H Como 1–2 -2.2

A Genoa 2–0 +1.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.6 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 1.67 #6 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Possession 44.3% #14 of 20

Shots faced 20.3 #19 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.67 #6 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 14 #11 of 20

On target 4.3 #11 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.67 #13 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 20.3 #19 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #7 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

20%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

40%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

40%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 5 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (10 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#12

Position

3

Points from 3 played

0

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
10	Sassuolo	3	0	4
11	Udinese	3	0	4
12	Napoli	3	0	3
13	Torino	3	-1	3
14	Lecce	3	-3	3

Napoli and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept17:00in 45h 24m
   Napoli Bologna

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 20 Sept11:30in 9d
   Fiorentina Napoli

   SA

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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