F

Frosinone

Serie A - Italy·6 of 20 in the table·13 points

Next match Frosinone v Lecce Thu 29 Oct, 17:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Frosinone — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

81

Elite

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.8%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

20th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Thu 29 Oct17:30 Lecce H — 1.75Smarkets — Sun 1 Nov14:00 Torino H — 2.25Betfred —

Form

last 6

DWLWDW 11 pts from 6

A Atalanta 4–4 +0.5

H Sassuolo 4–2 +1.8

A Napoli 0–3 -0.3

H Como 2–0 +1.7

A Genoa 1–1 +0.3

H Venezia 3–2 +1.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+7.9 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 2.13 #3 of 20

Shots on target 6 #3 of 20

Shots 18.3 #4 of 20

Points over model expectation 7.9 #4 of 20

Weaknesses

Possession 43.9% #17 of 20

Expected goals against 2.47 #19 of 20

Shots faced 19.8 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.13 #3 of 20

Expected goals 1.53 #7 of 20

Shots 18.3 #4 of 20

On target 6 #3 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.63 #11 of 20

Expected against 2.47 #19 of 20

Shots faced 19.8 #20 of 20

Clean sheets 2 #7 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

71%

Scored before half time

of 17 goals

12%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 17 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 17 goals

7%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 14 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (31 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#6

Position

13

Points from 7 played

+4

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
4	Como	8	7	17
5	AC Milan	7	7	15
6	Frosinone	7	4	13
7	Torino	8	2	13
8	Cagliari	8	-3	13

Frosinone and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Thu 29 Oct17:30in 3d
   Frosinone Lecce

   SA

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov14:00in 6d
   Frosinone Torino

   SA

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

League position (stored standings)

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