F

Frosinone

Serie A - Italy·7 of 20 in the table·6 points

Next match Genoa v Frosinone Sat 12 Sept, 14:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Frosinone — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 12 Sept14:00 Genoa A — 3.70Smarkets —

Form

last 3

WWL 6 pts from 3

H Venezia 3–2 +1.5

A Fiorentina 3–0 —

H Juventus 0–1 -0.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+3.9 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 2 #4 of 20

Shots on target 5.3 #5 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #6 of 20

Goals conceded 1 #7 of 20

Weaknesses

Shots 12 #15 of 20

Shots faced 20 #18 of 20

Possession 38.7% #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2 #4 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 12 #15 of 20

On target 5.3 #5 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #7 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 20 #18 of 20

Clean sheets 1 #6 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

67%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

17%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SA Serie A - Italy 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#7

Position

6

Points from 3 played

+3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
5	AC Milan	3	3	7
6	Juventus	3	3	7
7	Frosinone	3	3	6
8	Atalanta	3	1	6
9	Cagliari	3	1	6

Frosinone and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept14:00in 18h 24m
   Genoa Frosinone

   SA

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

League position (stored standings)

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