Al-Ahli v Al-Hazem — Saudi Pro League prediction, odds and analysis
SPLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Al-Ahli2–1Al-Hazem
Live 33′Al-Ahli1.28Smarkets
Draw6.60Smarkets
Al-Hazem12.00Smarkets
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
Built from the 3 goals,
cards and substitutions held for this fixture.
Above the line is Al-Ahli. Per-minute shot and possession data is not held, so this is the flow of
recorded events rather than a shot-pressure model.
Timeline and match statistics
Timeline · 1H · HT 2–1
Pro League · Regular Season - 7
- 2' Normal Goal Ahmed Al-Nakhli (Elton Acolatse)
- 21' Normal Goal Francisco Trincão (Ivan Toney)
- 31' Penalty Ivan Toney
Al-Ahli above the axis, Al-Hazem below — as recorded by the match feed, never inferred.
Form and league position
LWWLD
| Goals for / against (last 5) | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | at Al-Qadsiah (A) | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at Al-Hidd (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | vs Al-Riyadh (H) | 5-0 | W |
| 2026-09-01 | at Al-Hilal (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | at Muharraq (A) | 1-1 | D |
WDLW
| Goals for / against (last 4) | 0.75 / 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | vs Al-Taawoun (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at Al-Faisaly KSA FC (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-21 | vs Diriyah Club (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-13 | at Abha Club (A) | 2-1 | W |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a fixture, so none is shown.
No round, tie format or aggregate information is held for this tie yet.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
No prior meetings in the archive
The engine's results archive holds no completed fixture between these two sides.
Team form and league position are on the Teams tab; the model does not use head-to-head as an input.
Starting elevens
Team sheets were not captured for this fixture before kickoff —
the engine spends lineup calls only close to kick-off, and this game fell outside its capture window.
For finished games the post-match sweep stores the confirmed XI when the provider serves it.
Nothing here is ever predicted.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 5 Sept, 07:02
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Saudi Pro League fixtures
Al-Faisaly KSA FC v Al-IttihadAl-Taawoun v Al-HilalAl-Khaleej v Al-NassrAl-Shabab v Al-FayhaNeom v Al-FatehAl-Riyadh v Al-Kholood
Frequently asked questions
When do Al-Ahli play Al-Hazem?
Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 19:00 UK time in the Saudi Pro League.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.