Al-Faisaly KSA FC v Al-Ittihad — Saudi Pro League prediction, odds and analysis
SPLAt a glance
Model edge
Members
free account
Fair price
Members
free account
Model prob
Members
free account
Reliability
—
qualification
Al-Faisaly KSA FC1–3Al-Ittihad
Full timeAl-Faisaly KSA FC5.10Smarkets
Draw4.50Smarkets
Al-Ittihad1.68Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 11 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Al Majma’a Sport City, Madimaa
The full model view — probabilities, expected goals and the engine score needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Pricing board
The market pricing board needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Match flow
Built from the 15 goals,
cards and substitutions held for this fixture.
Above the line is Al-Faisaly KSA FC. Per-minute shot and possession data is not held, so this is the flow of
recorded events rather than a shot-pressure model.
Timeline and match statistics
Timeline · FT · HT 0–2
Pro League · Regular Season - 7
- 28' Normal Goal Steven Bergwijn (Richard Ríos Montoya)
- 43' Normal Goal Youssef En-Nesyri (George Ilenikhena)
- 45' Substitution 1 Eid Al-Muwallad (Theo Bongonda)
- 48' Yellow Card — Foul Hassan Kadesh
- 59' Normal Goal Youssef En-Nesyri (George Ilenikhena)
- 63' Substitution 1 George Ilenikhena (Georginio Wijnaldum)
- 63' Substitution 2 Richard Ríos Montoya (Mukhtar Ali)
- 67' Substitution 2 Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti (Hussain Al Zarie)
- 67' Substitution 3 Christian Bassogog (Abdulaziz Al-Bishi)
- 72' Substitution 3 Faris Abdi (Muath Faquihi)
- 72' Substitution 4 Youssef En-Nesyri (Saleh Al-Shehri)
- 80' Substitution 4 Abdulrahman Al Shereaf (Ayman Fallatah)
- 80' Substitution 5 Jaime Seoane (Saud Thamer Haddad)
- 80' Substitution 5 Steven Bergwijn (Marwan Al-Sahafi)
- 87' Normal Goal Theo Bongonda
Al-Faisaly KSA FC above the axis, Al-Ittihad below — as recorded by the match feed, never inferred.
Form and league position
LLDDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.5 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | vs Al-Ittihad FC (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-11 | vs Al-Ittihad (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-08 | at Al-Ettifaq (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-08 | at Al-Ettifaq (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Al-Hazm (H) | 0-0 | D |
WWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | at Al-Faisaly FC (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-11 | at Al-Faisaly KSA FC (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-08 | vs Al-Fayha (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Asyut Petrol (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Al-Nassr (H) | 2-1 | W |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a fixture, so none is shown.
No round, tie format or aggregate information is held for this tie yet.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
No prior meetings in the archive
The engine's results archive holds no completed fixture between these two sides.
Team form and league position are on the Teams tab; the model does not use head-to-head as an input.
Starting elevens
Team sheets were not captured for this fixture before kickoff —
the engine spends lineup calls only close to kick-off, and this game fell outside its capture window.
For finished games the post-match sweep stores the confirmed XI when the provider serves it.
Nothing here is ever predicted.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
The signal ledger needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Grounded team-news brief
The grounded team-news brief needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 5 Sept, 07:02
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Saudi Pro League fixtures
Al-Qadsiah v Al-EttifaqAl-Ahli v Al-HazemAl-Taawoun v Al-HilalAl-Khaleej v Al-NassrAl-Shabab v Al-FayhaNeom v Al-Fateh
Frequently asked questions
When do Al-Faisaly KSA FC play Al-Ittihad?
Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 16:45 UK time in the Saudi Pro League.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 11 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Create a free account
See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.