Al-Qadsiah v Al-Ettifaq — Saudi Pro League prediction, odds and analysis
SPLAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Al-Qadsiah3–3Al-Ettifaq
Full timeAl-Qadsiah1.28Smarkets
Draw7.20Smarkets
Al-Ettifaq11.00Betfair Sportsbook
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 11 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
Built from the 24 goals,
cards and substitutions held for this fixture.
Above the line is Al-Qadsiah. Per-minute shot and possession data is not held, so this is the flow of
recorded events rather than a shot-pressure model.
Timeline and match statistics
Timeline · FT · HT 2–1
Pro League · Regular Season - 7
- 6' Yellow Card — Foul Meshal Al-Aeli
- 12' Normal Goal Julián Quiñones (Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat)
- 15' Normal Goal Mateo Retegui (Christopher Bonsu Baah)
- 22' Yellow Card — Foul Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
- 26' Normal Goal Bersant Celina (Abdoulaye Kanté)
- 33' Yellow Card — Foul Yasir Al-Shammari
- 45' Substitution 1 Jehad Thakri (Yasir Al-Shahrani)
- 45' Substitution 1 Meshal Al-Aeli (Madallah Al-Olayan)
- 45' Substitution 2 Yasir Al-Shammari (Álvaro Medrán)
- 58' Substitution 3 Rayane Messi (Jordan Larsson)
- 62' Yellow Card — Foul Musab Al-Juwayr
- 63' Substitution 4 Khalid Al-Ghannam (Moussa Dembélé)
- 64' Substitution 2 Musab Al-Juwayr (Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani)
- 64' Substitution 3 Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat (Turki Al-Ammar)
- 64' Normal Goal Álvaro Medrán (Ondrej Duda)
- 78' Substitution 4 Mateo Retegui (Eyad Housa)
- 81' Normal Goal Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani (Turki Al-Ammar)
- 82' Substitution 5 Ondrej Duda (Abdalellah Hawsawi)
- 84' Yellow Card Radhi Al Oteibi
- 85' Normal Goal Jordan Larsson (Álvaro Medrán)
- 90+1' Substitution 5 Nahitan Nández (Abdulmalik Al-Jaber)
- 90+1' Yellow Card — Dissent Moussa Dembélé
- 90+2' Yellow Card — Argument Jack Hendry
- 90+5' Yellow Card — Dissent Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
Al-Qadsiah above the axis, Al-Ettifaq below — as recorded by the match feed, never inferred.
Form and league position
DWWWLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | vs Al-Ettifaq (H) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-09-08 | vs Al-Ahli (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | vs Al Nasar (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-03 | at Diriyah Club (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs Al Kuwait (H) | 0-1 | L |
DDDDWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | at Al-Qadisiyah FC (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-09-11 | at Al-Qadsiah (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-09-08 | vs Al-Faisaly FC (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-08 | vs Al-Faisaly KSA FC (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-04 | at Abha (A) | 1-0 | W |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a fixture, so none is shown.
No round, tie format or aggregate information is held for this tie yet.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
No prior meetings in the archive
The engine's results archive holds no completed fixture between these two sides.
Team form and league position are on the Teams tab; the model does not use head-to-head as an input.
Starting elevens
Team sheets were not captured for this fixture before kickoff —
the engine spends lineup calls only close to kick-off, and this game fell outside its capture window.
For finished games the post-match sweep stores the confirmed XI when the provider serves it.
Nothing here is ever predicted.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 5 Sept, 07:02
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Saudi Pro League fixtures
Al-Faisaly KSA FC v Al-IttihadAl-Ahli v Al-HazemAl-Taawoun v Al-HilalAl-Khaleej v Al-NassrAl-Shabab v Al-FayhaNeom v Al-Fateh
Frequently asked questions
When do Al-Qadsiah play Al-Ettifaq?
Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 16:25 UK time in the Saudi Pro League.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 11 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.