Atalanta BC v Parma — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
Members
free account
Fair price
Members
free account
Model prob
Members
free account
Reliability
—
qualification
Atalanta BCvParma
Mon 2 Nov, 19:45Atalanta BC1.45Unibet (UK)
Draw4.50Betfred (UK)
Parma7.00Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 11 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: New Balance Arena, Bergamo
The full model view — probabilities, expected goals and the engine score needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Pricing board
The market pricing board needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DDLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2 / 2.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Frosinone (H) | 4-4 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Frosinone (H) | 4-4 | D |
| 2026-10-22 | at Ajax (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | at Ajax (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | at AC Milan (A) | 2-3 | L |
LLLWLD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.67 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | at Lazio (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Torino (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | at Inter (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Genoa (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-14 | at Como (A) | 1-2 | L |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta BC | 11 | 9 | 7 | -1 | LWLLL |
| Parma | 19 | 4 | 8 | -10 | LLLWL |
Atalanta BC: 13 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
Parma: 18 pts behind 1st · 1 pt above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Atalanta BC 5 wins0 drawsParma 1avg 4.5 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 100%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-25 | Atalanta v Parma | 2-3 | Serie A |
| 2024-11-23 | Parma v Atalanta | 1-3 | Serie A |
| 2021-05-09 | Parma v Atalanta | 2-5 | Serie A |
| 2021-01-06 | Atalanta v Parma | 3-0 | Serie A |
| 2020-07-28 | Parma v Atalanta | 1-2 | Serie A |
| 2020-01-06 | Atalanta v Parma | 5-0 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Atalanta BCsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| G. Gaetano | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| E. Elmas | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| S. Kolasinac | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| F. Kessie | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| G. Raspadori | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| O. Kossounou | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| I. Hien | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| K. Sulemana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| T. Kristensen | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| G. Scalvini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| H. Ahanor | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| G. Gaetano | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| E. Elmas | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| S. Kolasinac | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| F. Kessie | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
Parmasnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bernabe | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| H. Nicolussi Caviglia | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Valenti | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| P. Almqvist | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Ndiaye | Missing Fixture | Knock |
| A. Joujou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| N. Elphege | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| O. Diallo | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Britschgi | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| A. Bernabe | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| H. Nicolussi Caviglia | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Valenti | Questionable | Coach's decision |
| P. Almqvist | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Ndiaye | Missing Fixture | Knock |
| A. Joujou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
The signal ledger needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Grounded team-news brief
The grounded team-news brief needs a free account
one email address, no card and no trial clock
Fixture times, states and results stay open to everyone.
Create a free account
Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
Sassuolo v LazioTorino v ComoAS Roma v CagliariVenezia v Inter MilanAC Milan v BolognaParma v Udinese
Frequently asked questions
When do Atalanta BC play Parma?
Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 19:45 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
A free account unlocks:
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Create a free account
See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.